Open Journal of Epidemiology, 2016, 6, 28-43
Published Online February 2016 in SciRes. http://www.scirp.org/journal/ojepi
http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ojepi.2016.61005
How to cite this paper: Setlhare, K. and Forcheh, N. (2016) Extracting Leading Joint Causes of Death and Mining Associa-
tions between Them. Open Journal of Epidemiology, 6, 28-43. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ojepi.2016.61005
Extracting Leading Joint Causes of Death
and Mining Associations between Them
Keamogetse Setlhare, Ntonghanwah Forcheh
Department of Statistics, University of Botswana, Gaborone, Botswana
Received 21 November 2015; accepted 13 February 2016; published 16 February 2016
Copyright © 2016 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Abstract
The gains in analyzing death from a multiple cause perspective have been recognized for a very
long time. Methods that have been adopted have sought to determine additional gains made by
treating death as a multiple cause phenomenon as compared to analysis based on a single under-
lying cause. This paper shows how association rules mining methodology can be adapted to de-
termine joint morbid causes with strong and interesting associations. Results show that some
causes of death that do not appear among the leading causes show strong associations with other
causes that would otherwise remain unknown without the use of association rules methodology.
Overall, the study found that the leading joint pair of causes of death in South Africa was metabolic
disorders and intestinal infectious diseases which accounted for 18.9 deaths per 1000 in 2008,
followed by cerebrovascular and hypertensive diseases which accounted for 18.3 deaths per 1000.
Keywords
Association Rule, Confidence, Interestingness, Multiple Cause of Death, South Africa, Odds-Ratio,
Prevalence, Support
1. Introduction
The analysis and reporting of causes of death continue to be dominated by the single underlying cause of death
concept. As pointed out by [1], the philosophy behind the underlying cause concept is that if the starting point of
the sequence of events that lead to death is known, then death can be prevented by preventing the initiating
cause from operating. Hence, identifying leading underlying causes of death is very important in public health.
Therefore, the underlying cause of death continues to be coded on death certificates. However, it has been rec-
ognised since the first attempts to develop international systems for classification of causes of death that death
rarely arises from a single cause [2], especially death caused by chronic pathologies among the elderly [3]. It has