Advances in Life Course Research 47 (2021) 100359
Available online 21 July 2020
1040-2608/© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Sibling infuence on family formation: A study of social interaction effects
on fertility, marriage, and divorce
Zafer Buyukkececi *, Thomas Leopold
University of Cologne, Albertus-Magnus-Platz, 50923, Cologne, Germany
A R T I C L E INFO
Keywords:
Family formation
Fertility
Marriage
Divorce
Siblings
Social interaction
ABSTRACT
This study examined social interaction effects on family formation and dissolution, asking whether fertility,
marital, and divorce behavior spread in the sibling network. Using panel data from the German SOEP (1984 –
2016; N = 4,521 individuals), we estimated discrete-time event history models with random effects at the in-
dividual to examine whether siblings’ transitions to parenthood, marriage, and divorce infuence an individual’s
chance to have children, marry, and divorce. Results show that the hazard of becoming a parent increased in the
short term after a sibling had a child. Similarly, the hazard of getting married increased following a sibling’s
marriage. Tentative evidence also suggested that transition rates to divorce increased in the longer term
following a sibling’s divorce. Furthermore, we found evidence for social interaction effects across different
transitions in the process of family formation, as the transition rates to marriage decreased after a sibling
divorced. Conversely, the risk of divorce decreased following a sibling’s entry to marriage. Overall, these fndings
illustrate that the impact of network partners on demographic behavior is not limited to the same behavioral
domain and might be negative as well as positive.
1. Introduction
The life-course perspective emphasizes the importance of structural
and social contexts for human development (Elder & Rockwell, 1979).
The view is supported by demographic research showing that the
occurrence and timing of life-course transitions such as fertility (Bon-
gaarts & Watkins, 1996; Montgomery & Casterline, 1996) are infuenced
not only by individual characteristics but also by the behavior of
network partners. Recent research has directed attention to micro-level
networks such as siblings (de Vuijst, Poortman, Das, & van Gaalen,
2017; Kotte & Ludwig, 2011; Lyngstad & Prskawetz, 2010), friends
(Balbo & Barban, 2014), and colleagues (Asphjell, Hensvik, & Nilsson,
2013; Buyukkececi, Leopold, van Gaalen, & Engelhardt, 2020; Pink,
Leopold, & Engelhardt, 2014) to examine social interaction effects on
demographic behavior. These studies on social interaction effects and
demographic behavior have focused on similar behavioral domains and
argued why the same type of behavior may spread among network
partners. Most of these studies have found positive associations between
network partners’ demographic behavior, including fertility (e.g.,
Buyukkececi et al., 2020; Lyngstad & Prskawetz, 2010) and divorce (de
Vuijst et al., 2017).
Yet, two important aspects have been neglected in the literature.
First, the infuence of network partners is not necessarily limited to the
same behavioral domain. For instance, an individual’s entry into mar-
riage may not only be infuenced by network partners’ marital behavior,
but also by related behavior. Individual intentions underlying entries
into parenthood and marriage tend to be similar, and attitudes towards
these life-course transitions reinforce each other (Baiz´ an, Aassve, &
Billari, 2003; Cowan & Cowan, 2000). Moreover, marriage is a precursor
to parenthood and fertility decisions commonly take place in a context
of marriage or cohabitation (Rindfuss, Morgan, & Swicegood, 1988),
suggesting that not only network partners’ marital behavior but also
their fertility behavior may have consequences for marital decisions.
Second, network partners’ behavior may not only encourage but also
discourage certain demographic behaviors. Extant studies commonly test
for positive infuence, whereby network partners’ demographic transi-
tions increase the chance of experiencing the same transition (Balbo &
Barban, 2014; Lyngstad & Prskawetz, 2010). Network partners’
behavior, however, may also exert a negative infuence (Yakusheva &
Fletcher, 2015). If network partners divorce, for example, this experi-
ence may decrease the likelihood of marriage.
In the present study, we aim to fll these gaps in the literature on
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: zafer.bueyuekkececi@uni-koeln.de (Z. Buyukkececi), t.leopold@wiso.uni-koeln.de (T. Leopold).
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Advances in Life Course Research
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/alcr
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.alcr.2020.100359
Received 16 November 2019; Received in revised form 10 July 2020; Accepted 10 July 2020