Eur J Nucl. Med. 5, 271-276 (1980)
EuropeanN u c l e a r
Journal of
Medicine
© by Sprmger-Verlag 1980
Cost Effectiveness Calculations for the Diagnosis and Treatment
of Tuberculous Meningitis
Barbara J. McNeil, Mark Thompson, and S. James Adelsteln
Department of Radiology, Harvard Medical School, the Joint Program m Nuclear Me&cane, Peter Bent Brigham Hospttal,
and Center for the Analysis of Health Practices, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Abstract. This study illustrates how cost-effectiveness
calculations provide help in decisions involving a
choice between introduction of a new diagnostic
procedure or a new therapy for a particular clinical
problem. This type of problem is critical for areas
where financial resources are limiting. Our analysis
is centered on the value of diagnosis and treatment
in tuberculous meningitis (Tbm) and, because of its
importance to developing countries, our epidemio-
logic data were derived from India. When financial
costs are ignored, the introduction of second line ther-
apy (e.g., Rifampin) leads to more cures than does
the introduction of even a perfect diagnostic test.
However, diagnostic tests (e.g., the Bromide partition
test or possibly radioassays) markedly improve case
finding and to some extent increase cure rates. All
affects vary markedly with the prevalence of tubercu-
lous meningitis in the population under study. For
example, net financial savings would occur were a
perfect nuclear test available and conventional ther-
apy used at a prevalence of Tbm of 30% whereas
there would be a net loss if the prevalence rose to
80%.
This study underscores the need for detailed
studies on the radiobromide partition test and for
the development of new diagnostic tests, perhaps a
radioimmunoassay of either the acid fast bacillus or
of an antibody to it.
This work was supported in part by a contract from the Interna-
tional Atomic Energy Agency. Dr. McNml is a recipient of Re-
search Career Development Award 5-K04-GM00194 from the Na-
tional InsUtute of General Medical Sciences
Offprint requests to. Barbara J. McNeil, M.D., Department of
Radiology, Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck Street, Boston,
Massachusetts 02115, USA
Introduction
Over the past few decades, many new diagnostic tests
and new therapeutic regimens have been introduced
for a variety of diseases. Most cost-effectiveness calcu-
lations of these tests and therapies have been restricted
to an analysis of the impact of the test or of the
therapy. They have not discussed a common problem
existing in many countries where either total financial
resources or the proportion of resources devoted to
health care are limiting. In such situations, if a new
diagnostic procedure and a new therapy exist for the
same problem, a difficult choice may have to be made
between them or among various combinations of
them in competing for available funds.
In this study we present a prototypical example
of an approach to this problem of tradeoffs at the
hands of a problem common to many developing
countries the diagnosis and treatment of tuberculous
meningitis (Tbm). This issue is particularly challeng-
ing for two reasons. (1) The early clinical diagnosis
of this disease is exceedingly difficult. As a supple-
ment to the clinical diagnosis, the radiobromide parti-
tion test already exists and many individuals hope
that radioimmunoassay studies of the cerebrospinal
fluid (CSF) will be even more helpful. (2) Current
treatment is, in general, long, costly, and frequently
ineffective. Although improved treatment regimens
have recently been available in developed countries,
their use in developing countries has been limited
because of high financial costs.
The setting of this analysis will involve the diag-
nosis and treatment of Tbm in India. The first part
involves determination of the benefits and costs asso-
ciated with the use of an existing test (the radiobro-
mide partition test) and of a theoretically perfect test
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