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International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET)
Volume 12, Issue 3, March 2021, pp. 5-22, Article ID: IJCIET_12_03_002
Available online at ttp://iaeme.com/Home/issue/IJCIET?Volume=12&Issue=3 h
Journal Impact Factor (2020 11.3296 (Calculated by GISI) www.jifactor.com ):
ISSN Print: 0976-6308 and ISSN Online: 0976-6316
DOI: 10.34218/IJCIET.12.3.2021.002
© IAEME Publication Scope Database Indexed
USING SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE (SVM)
FOR TIME AND COST OVERRUN ANALYSIS IN
CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS IN EGYPT
Mohamed Gamal Eltoukhy
Department of Civil Engineering, Construction management,
German University in Cairo, Egypt
Ayman H. Nassar
Department of Civil Engineering, Construction management,
German University in Cairo, Egypt
ABSTRACT
This study aims to model construction projects cost and time overruns, with the
specific objectives of identifying the causes and effects of cost and schedule overruns in
construction projects. This is because the concept of construction projects cost and
schedule overruns has attracted much attention in recent years and that researchers
and research bodies, be it corporate or government that try to formulate remedies to
projects cost and schedule overruns should begin with an understanding of the causes
of these overruns and their effects to the construction industry as a whole. Since, time
and cost performance are the fundamental criteria for success of any project. The
project management technique for tracking the most critical factors that affect the
pr tools and developed oject’s overruns of planned schedule and planned budget using
software are helpful in comparing the project with stipulated time and cost.
This research investigates ranking factors from two questionnaires to compute the
severity index among various construction projects and ranked each factor according
to the percentages of each factor occurrence. Two models constructed using Linear
regression (LR) and machine learning (Support Vector Machine) is one of the artificial
intelligence systems to fit the given data for all construction projects. First model is
developed for time overrun prediction with high accuracy and second model is
developed for cost overrun for various construction projects. Check the performance
and accuracy of the predicting model by some certain projects of time and cost projects
data and check the variation of the results between the actual results and predicted
results.
Keywords: Schedule overruns, Cost overruns, Construction Industry, Project
management, Causes and effect of cost and schedule overruns, Contractor, Owner,
Consultant, Machine learning, Artificial intelligence, Support Vector Machine (SVM)