Effects of Getting Married on Offending
Results from a Prospective Longitudinal Survey of
Males
Delphine Theobald
Institute of Criminology, Cambridge, UK
David P. Farrington
Institute of Criminology, Cambridge, UK
ABSTRACT
In the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development, 411 males were followed
up from age 8 to age 48. This analysis of the effects of marriage on offending
is based on 162 convicted males. The age of marriage was stratified into early
(18–21 years), mid-range (22–24 years), and late (25 years or later). Risk factors
at age 8–10 were used to calculate propensity scores that predicted the likelihood
of getting married. Convictions before and after the age of first marriage were
investigated for married males and for unmarried males who were matched on
the number of convictions before marriage and on the propensity score. The
results showed that getting married was followed by a reduction in offending but
only for early (age 18–21) and mid-range (age 22–24) marriages. The analysis
was replicated using risk factors at age 18, with the same results.
KEY WORDS
Desistance / Marriage / Offending / Propensity Score / Prospective Longitudinal
Survey.
Introduction
Marriage has been studied within criminology as an influence on desistance
from offending (Sampson and Laub 1990, 1993; Farrington and West
1995; Horney et al. 1995; Laub et al. 1998; Piquero et al. 2002; Laub and
Sampson 2003; Sampson et al. 2006; King et al. 2007). It is difficult to
Volume 6 (6): 496–516: 1477-3708
DOI: 10.1177/1477370809341226
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