INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
Int. J. Climatol. 21: 535–556 (2001)
PRECIPITATION AND ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION PATTERNS AT
MID-LATITUDES OF ASIA
ELENA M. AIZEN
a,
*, VLADIMIR B. AIZEN
a
, JOHN M. MELACK
a
, TSUTOMU NAKAMURA
b
and TAKESHI OHTA
b
a
Uniersity of California, Santa Barbara, Donald Bren School of Enironmental Science and Management, Santa Barbara,
CA 93106 -5131, USA
b
Faculty of Agriculture, Iwate Uniersity, 3 -18 -8 Ueda, Morioka, 020 Japan
Receied 7 December 1999
Reised 6 October 2000
Accepted 13 October 2000
ABSTRACT
Analyses of the coupling between large-scale atmospheric patterns and modifications of regional precipitation regimes
at seasonal and annual time scales in different terrain of mid-latitudes in Asia, including western Siberia, Tien Shan
and Pamir mountains, and plains of middle Asia and Japanese Islands, were examined based on data from 57 and
88 hydro-climatic stations with 100 and 60 year records, respectively. For the past 100 years, a positive trend in
precipitation was revealed in western Siberia, northern regions of Tien Shan and Japanese Islands. North Atlantic
Oscillation (NAO) and West Pacific Oscillation (WPO) indices have inverse associations, with average amount of
precipitation in western Siberia and in mountains and plains of middle Asia, and positive correlation in central and
western regions of Japanese Islands. The Pacific North American (PNA) index is positively correlated with annual
precipitation over most of the Japanese Islands. Northern Asian (NA) positive anomalies lead to decrease in winter
precipitation in the western and eastern regions of Japanese Islands. We did not find significant impact of PNA or
NA on precipitation in middle Asia. We suggest that during the last century, impacts of the western jet stream
increased in the northern regions of Tien Shan and Japanese Islands, and weakened in the eastern Japanese Islands.
There is a suggestion that conditions are more favourable for precipitation development over continental regions of
Asia when the Siberian High is positioned further to the east than further to the west. During dominant development
of a zonal atmospheric pattern, the annual and seasonal precipitation decreased over most regions in continental Asia
and central Japan. Copyright © 2001 Royal Meteorological Society.
KEY WORDS: atmospheric processes; central Asia; Japanese Islands; precipitation; Siberia
DOI: 10.1002/joc.626
1. INTRODUCTION
The characterization and modelling of climate variability on annual to century time scales is a challenge
in the field of climatology. These variabilities are a result of changes in large-scale atmospheric
circulation, and numerous studies have attempted to link observed regional climate variability with
parameters representative of atmospheric circulation. The majority of investigations on atmospheric
circulation patterns (ACP) and climate dependence have been undertaken at the mid to low latitudes of
American and European continents (Cayan and Roads, 1984; Cayan and Riddle, 1992; Beniston et al.,
1994; Daultrey, 1996). The challenging problem of quantifying the effect that global climate circulation
has on regional Asian hydrometeorology has been considered in few analyses. Wang and Li (1990) studied
precipitation fluctuations over semiarid regions in northern China and their correlation with El
Nin ˜ o – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and their possible link with summer monsoon and the western Pacific
sub-tropical high. Sugiyama (1987) and Nishimori and Kawamura (1993) analysed the relationships
between seasonal snow cover and large-scale circulation patterns for Japanese Islands. Analyses of
* Correspondence to: University of California, Santa Barbara, Donald Bren School of Environmental Science and Management,
Santa Barbara, CA 93106-5131, USA; e-mail: aizen@esm.ucsb.edu
Copyright © 2001 Royal Meteorological Society