Research Article
Regional Frequency Analysis of Extremes Precipitation Using
L-Moments and Partial L-Moments
Said Arab Khan,
1,2
Ijaz Hussain,
1
Tajammal Hussain,
3
Muhammad Faisal,
4,5
Yousaf Shad Muhammad,
1
and Alaa Mohamd Shoukry
6,7
1
Department of Statistics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
2
Government Degree College, Lahore, Swabi, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
3
Department of Statistics, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Lahore, Pakistan
4
Faculty of Health Studies, University of Bradford, Bradford, UK
5
Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
6
Arriyadh Community College, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
7
Workers University, Cairo, Egypt
Correspondence should be addressed to Ijaz Hussain; ijaz@qau.edu.pk
Received 21 December 2016; Revised 26 January 2017; Accepted 7 February 2017; Published 7 March 2017
Academic Editor: Mouleong Tan
Copyright © 2017 Said Arab Khan et al. Tis is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License,
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Extremes precipitation may cause a series of social, environmental, and ecological problems. Estimation of frequency of extreme
precipitations and its magnitude is vital for making decisions about hydraulic structures such as dams, spillways, and dikes. In this
study, we focus on regional frequency analysis of extreme precipitation based on monthly precipitation records (1999–2012) at 17
stations of Northern areas and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. We develop regional frequency methods based on L-moment and
partial L-moments (L- and PL-moments). Te L- and PL-moments are derived for generalized extreme value (GEV), generalized
logistic (GLO), generalized normal (GNO), and generalized Pareto (GPA) distributions. Te -statistics and L- and PL-moments
ratio diagrams of GNO, GEV, and GPA distributions were identifed to represent the statistical properties of extreme precipitation
in Northern areas and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. We also perform a Monte Carlo simulation study to examine the sampling
properties of L- and PL-moments. Te results show that PL-moments perform better than L-moments for estimating large return
period events.
1. Introduction
Hydraulic and hydrologic designs are key steps in planning
of any water project. Any problem pitched at designing
stage will result in the failure of design irrespective of the
fact how correctly the other steps are taken. Hydrologists
deal with water-related issues, problems of quantity, quality,
and availability, in the society that known as hydrologic
events. Stochastic methods are ofen used to understand
sources of uncertainties in physical processes that give rise
to observed hydrologic events, as precipitation and stream
fow estimates depend on the past or future events. Several
statistical methods ofered to minimize and summarize the
uncertainties of observed data and frequency analysis is one
of them. It determines that how ofen a particular event will
occur by estimating the quantile
for return period of ,
where is the magnitude of the event that occurs at a given
time and location.
Dalrymple [1] proposed regional frequency analysis
(RFA) method for pooling various data samples. It is index-
food procedure in hydrology. Hosking et al. [2] studied
the properties of probability-weighted moments (PWMs)
method based on RFA method. Tis method is frst used by
Greis and Wood [3] and Wallis [4]. Cunnane [5] reviewed
twelve methods of RFA and related regional PWMs algo-
rithm.
Initially, PWMs are considered as an alternative parame-
ter estimation method; however, it was difcult to interpret
directly as measures of the shape and scale parameters of
distribution. RFA can forecast the food fow using empirical
Hindawi
Advances in Meteorology
Volume 2017, Article ID 6954902, 20 pages
https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/6954902