* Corresponding author
E-mail address: shahed_07ipe@yahoo.com (S. Mahmud)
© 2016 Growing Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi: 10.5267/j.uscm.2015.11.001
Uncertain Supply Chain Management 4 (2016) 137–146
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Uncertain Supply Chain Management
homepage: www.GrowingScience.com/uscm
Minimizing the bullwhip effect in a single product multistage supply chain using genetic
algorithm
Shahed Mahmud
*
, Md. Sohanur Rahman, Md. Mahamudul Hasan and Md. Mosharraf
Hossain
Department of Industrial & Production Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering & Technology Rajshahi-6204, Bangladesh
C H R O N I C L E A B S T R A C T
Article history:
Received March 20, 2014
Received in revised format
November 18, 2015
Accepted November 18 2015
Available online
November 18 2015
Supply chain management is important for companies and organizations to improve their
business and lead competitiveness in the global marketplace. But demand variations in the
supply chain are significant problem for most practitioners, planners, demand managers, and
operations managers. Demand variations make forecasting and inventory management more
difficult and tend to increase inventory levels. The supply chain (SC) profitability can be
affected by the cost associated with large inventories, transportation, and production due to the
bullwhip effect. Only bullwhip effect can lead to reduce the supply chain profitability in great
amount. This paper represents a computational intelligence approach, which addresses the
bullwhip effect in multistage supply chain. As a computational intelligence approach, Genetic
Algorithm (GA) is employed to reduce the bullwhip effect. Through this approach, optimal
order quantity in each stage is to be calculated by considering cost associated with bullwhip
effect. Distorted information from one end of a supply chain can lead to tremendous
inefficiencies to other end. In this paper it is shown that if each player of the supply chain
orders or transfers optimum quantities for the upcoming period then the bullwhip effect can be
reduced significantly.
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Keywords:
Profitability
Bullwhip effect
Genetic algorithm
Optimal ordering quantity
1. Introduction
Demand variability amplification across the supply chain, known as Bullwhip Effect (BWE), results in
serious inefficiencies across the chain. When each player manages its own organization without any
coordination to the others, it might cause “Bullwhip Effect” (BWE); variances of ordering patterns
move up to the SC from end customer to retailer, to distributor, manufacturer, to Supplier. Lee et.al.
(1997a) stated that Procter and Gamble were one of the first companies to identify the bullwhip effect
through examining the order patterns for one of their products. Forrester (1958) first demonstrated the
term bullwhip effect and motivated many researchers to work on this issue. Lee et al. (1997a) claimed
that the merely demand fluctuation in retail shops lead to greater order variability due to information