Physica A 390 (2011) 3020–3025
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Physica A
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/physa
Comparing the structure of an emerging market with a mature one
under global perturbation
A. Namaki
a
, G.R. Jafari
b,∗
, R. Raei
a
a
Department of Financial Management, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
b
Department of Physics, Shahid Beheshti University, G.C., Evin, Tehran 19839, Iran
article info
Article history:
Received 14 October 2010
Received in revised form 15 March 2011
Available online 15 April 2011
Keywords:
Random matrix theory
Financial market
Global perturbation
abstract
In this paper we investigate the Tehran stock exchange (TSE) and Dow Jones Industrial
Average (DJIA) in terms of perturbed correlation matrices. To perturb a stock market,
there are two methods, namely local and global perturbation. In the local method, we
replace a correlation coefficient of the cross-correlation matrix with one calculated from
two Gaussian-distributed time series, whereas in the global method, we reconstruct the
correlation matrix after replacing the original return series with Gaussian-distributed time
series. The local perturbation is just a technical study. We analyze these markets through
two statistical approaches, random matrix theory (RMT) and the correlation coefficient
distribution. By using RMT, we find that the largest eigenvalue is an influence that is
common to all stocks and this eigenvalue has a peak during financial shocks. We find there
are a few correlated stocks that make the essential robustness of the stock market but we
see that by replacing these return time series with Gaussian-distributed time series, the
mean values of correlation coefficients, the largest eigenvalues of the stock markets and the
fraction of eigenvalues that deviate from the RMT prediction fall sharply in both markets.
By comparing these two markets, we can see that the DJIA is more sensitive to global
perturbations. These findings are crucial for risk management and portfolio selection.
© 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
The global financial system is composed of a large variety of markets, which exist across different geographic locations
and in which a broad range of financial products are traded. Despite the diversity of markets and products that are traded,
price changes of assets often respond to the same economic events and market news [1–3]. There are many reasons for us
wanting to know about correlations in price movements. The most familiar motivation is for risk management and portfolio
optimization purposes, because, when the prices of the assets held in the portfolio are correlated, large changes in the value
of a portfolio are more likely to happen [4–7]. Basically, price fluctuations stems from an imbalance between the buy and sell
orders placed by investors. This imbalance is mainly due to the heterogeneity of investors in expecting future returns [8].
The results of previous works have emphasized the complexity of financial markets [9–15]. In essence, the stock market
is an example of a complex system consisting of many interacting components [8,13,14]. The price fluctuations among
many stocks have complicated relationships. Lately, many researchers have investigated stock markets by establishing the
corresponding stock correlation networks, of which the vertices are the stocks and edges between vertices are the price
fluctuation relationships of stocks [11,12,16–20]. So, the analysis of the correlation matrix of financial networks has been an
important issue in the econophysics discipline [21–27]. That means, a correlation matrix contains a complicated structure
∗
Corresponding author. Tel.: +98 21 29902773; fax: +98 21 22412889.
E-mail address: g_jafari@sbu.ac.ir (G.R. Jafari).
0378-4371/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.physa.2011.04.004