sustainability
Article
The Compounded Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic and Desert
Locust Outbreak on Food Security and Food Supply Chain
Zhitao Xu
1
, Adel Elomri
1,
*, Abdelfatteh El Omri
2
, Laoucine Kerbache
1,3
and Hui Liu
4
Citation: Xu, Z.; Elomri, A.; El Omri,
A.; Kerbache, L.; Liu, H. The
Compounded Effects of COVID-19
Pandemic and Desert Locust
Outbreak on Food Security and Food
Supply Chain. Sustainability 2021, 13,
1063. https://doi.org/10.3390/su
13031063
Academic Editor: Marc A. Rosen
Received: 19 November 2020
Accepted: 18 January 2021
Published: 20 January 2021
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4.0/).
1
College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha 5825, Qatar;
ZXu@hbku.edu.qa (Z.X.); lakerbache@hbku.edu.qa (L.K.)
2
Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha 3050, Qatar; omriabdel@gmail.com
3
HEC Paris, 78350 Jouy-en-Josas, France
4
College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,
Nanjing 210016, China; huiliu0603@163.com
* Correspondence: aelomri@hbku.edu.qa
Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic and locust swarm outbreaks pose a significant threat to global
food systems, causing severe disruptions in both local and international food supplies from farm to
fork. The main objective of this study is to understand and identify the disruptions during the crises
and create a map of how resilience can be established to recover and sustain the food supply chain
(FSC) functions as well as food security. The detrimental impacts of the compound crises on the
FSC are explored and the effects of the affected areas are estimated under optimistic and pessimistic
scenarios. As a response to the disruption caused by the crisis in FSCs, reactive and proactive
solutions are proposed to develop resilience at the food sector level. In the short term, the reactive
solutions, consisting of smoothing the food demand, supply and delivery, and food production
and processing, can be borrowed. In the long term, the proactive solutions can be conducted by
developing multi-level short intertwined FSCs. Our comprehensive investigation of the resilience
elements in diverse operations and potential strategies should contribute to the improvement of FSC
resilience in the face of ongoing and growing threats.
Keywords: food security; food supply chains; COVID-19 pandemic; locust swarm; resilience of
agri-food supply chains
1. Introduction
The worldwide spread of COVID-19 has caused the worst recession since the Second
World War [1]. Among these, the food industry is one of the most vulnerable sectors, and
the populations living in food crisis contexts are particularly exposed to the effects of the
pandemic. Food systems incorporate all the stages of food production, from agriculture to
household consumption [2,3]. Since the food supply chain (FSC) is becoming increasingly
complex and multi-tiered, the accessibility of market factors, such as labor force and logistic
resources, is vital for FSC functioning in the global environment. However, the COVID-19
outbreak, accompanied by mitigations, has exerted a synchronous negative impact on the
FSCs. COVID-19 is not the only threat to FSCs. Since October 2019, the biggest locust
invasion in almost three decades has broken out across Africa, the Middle East, South Asia,
and South America and threatened more than three billion people’s food insecurity [4].
COVID-19 and locust outbreaks, coupled with mitigation strategies adopted by coun-
tries, have posed multiple and synchronous effects on food production and logistics as
well as food demands due to panic buying. As the crisis continues, the full impact on food
security is difficult to predict and assess. To avoid exacerbating the food crisis, it is therefore
essential to analyze the specific set of risks posed by COVID-19 and the locust crisis and
provide insights and response strategies with a supply chain perspective. However, the
overlapping effects of crises of FSCs have remained scantily explored in the literature. In
Sustainability 2021, 13, 1063. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13031063 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability