Short communication
Study on functional longevity of Tunisian Holstein dairy cattle using a
Weibull proportional hazard model
Naceur M'hamdi
a,
⁎, Rafik Aloulou
a
, Mahdi Bouallegue
b
,
Satinder K. Brar
c
, Mohamed Ben Hamouda
d
a
Département des Sciences Animales, Institut Supérieur Agronomique de Chott-Mariem, BP47, 4042 Sousse, Tunisie
b
Faculté des Sciences Mathématiques, Physiques et Naturelle de Tunis, Campus Universitaire, 2092 Tunis, Tunisie
c
Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique, Québec, Canada
d
Institution de La Recherche et de l'Enseignement Supérieur Agricole (IRESA), Ministère de l'Agriculture et des Ressources Hydrauliques, Tunisie
article info abstract
Article history:
Received 11 October 2009
Received in revised form 6 May 2010
Accepted 19 May 2010
Available online xxxx
Records of functional longevity (FL), from first calving to last recording (or culling), of 36,888
Tunisian Holstein cows in 169 herds were studied using survival analysis. Using a Weibull
proportional hazard model, the influences of age at first calving, herd–year–season, lactation
number–stage of lactation, milk production within the herd and year, annual change in herd size
and random genetic effect of sire on FL were studied. Besides a random time-dependent effect of
herd–year–season, the model included fixed effects of parity and stage of lactation, within herd
and parity production level (all time-dependent), and age at first calving (time-independent). All
factors had a significant effect on FL at a level of P b 0.001. Milk yield was by far the most important
factor influencing FL and the hazard increased as the milk production decreased. Within the first
three lactations, the relative culling risk increased stepwise with lactation stage. The highest risk of
culling was found for cows at the beginning and at the end of the first lactation and at the end of
any other lactation. The risk of culling decreased with parity.
© 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
Heritability
Holstein cow
Length of productive life
Tunisia
Survival analysis
Weibull model
1. Introduction
Functional traits have received increasing attention in
breeding programs for dairy cattle in many countries. Because
of well adaptation characteristic of Holstein population to
temperate climatic conditions and its high production level, this
breed is the mainly demanded one among culture cows in
Tunisia (Ben Salem et al., 2006). However, in Tunisia, as in most
other countries, dairy cattle breeding programs were mainly
focused towards yield traits. In the last decade interest has
increased in broadening breeding objective to include func-
tional traits such as fertility, mastitis resistance and longevity
(Sewalem et al., 2008). Functional longevity is an important
component of profits from milk production because high
longevity reduces rearing costs and purchasing replacement
females (Forabosco et al., 2004), enables the animals to reach
their age dependent maximum of milk production (Strapák et
al., 2005), and increases the proportion of higher yielding cows
in the herd (Vukasinovic et al., 2001). It is assessed as days in
milk or days between first calving and culling (Tsuruta et al.,
2005; VanRaden et al., 2006), and can be measured in different
ways such as Weibull proportional hazard model (Sewalem et
al., 2006), Cox regression (Prentice and Kalbfleisch, 1979) and
Survival Kit (Ducrocq and Soelkner, 1994, 1998b) and its
genetic evaluations are not standardized across countries (Du
Toit et al., 2009). In Tunisia, for instance, FL is recorded as a
binary trait and evaluated with a multiple-trait linear animal
model (Ajili et al., 2007). The interest in implementing
longevity in the breeding goal is mainly due to the need of
farmers to have cows with higher economic efficiency.
Selection for FL is attractive for reducing involuntary culling
rate which is becoming a high cost in Tunisian dairy herds. The
Livestock Science xxx (2010) xxx–xxx
⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +216 73 348 544; fax: +216 73 327 591.
E-mail address: naceur_mhamdi@yahoo.fr (N. M'hamdi).
LIVSCI-01176; No of Pages 4
1871-1413/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.livsci.2010.05.011
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Livestock Science
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/livsci
Please cite this article as: M'hamdi, N., et al., Study on functional longevity of Tunisian Holstein dairy cattle using a Weibull
proportional hazard model, Livestock Science (2010), doi:10.1016/j.livsci.2010.05.011