Journal of Gerontology: MEDICAL SCIENCES © The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America.
Cite journal as: J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2011 December;66A(12):1393–1394 All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
doi:10.1093/gerona/glr163 Advance Access published on September 7, 2011
1393
Dear Sir,
We have read with interest the systematic review article
of Diederichs and colleagues (1), referring to the existing
multimorbidity indexes. We fully agree with the authors in
their opinions that clear and comprehensive criteria for the
selection of chronic conditions, which qualify for multi-
morbidity, are still lacking. Accordingly, there is no agree-
ment on the number and type of diseases to be included in
multimorbidity indices, so these lack homogeneity, as well
as external reproducibility in the case of prognostic multi-
morbidity tools. For this reason, most clinicians and inves-
tigators, usually, continue to use the Charlson–Deyo index
as the gold-standard tool when referring to prognosis in
patients with multiple chronic diseases (PMCD) (2,3).
Nevertheless, the Charlson–Deyo index has been around for
over 20 years; during this time, new diagnostic–therapeutic
options have drastically changed the course of many of the
included conditions (2,4).
Recently, the new notion of polypathological patient (PP)
has been introduced in the management of these popula-
tions (5,6). This definition arose from the needs of clini-
cians to integrally approach the medical problems of patients
with multiple diseases. In these patients, it is difficult to
establish the protagonism of any of the comorbidities
because of their similar complexity, their similar potential
to become unstable, and their mutual relationships. A
PMCD is considered a PP when suffering from chronic dis-
eases from two or more of eight predefined categories; these
categories were established by a panel of experts using cri-
teria of end effect on function of key organs (independently
of the primary disease), frequent chronic conditions with high
mortality and/or potential of becoming unstable, or frequent
comorbidities when mental and/or functional impairment
thresholds were definitively reached (4–7). Therefore, the
PP notion is globally centered on the patient and not on any
“protagonist” disease nor on any professional health care
worker who attends a PMCD. An increasing number of
studies are determining that this emergent population is rea-
sonably homogeneous, highly complex, clinically vulnera-
ble, functionally impaired, dependent on caregivers, and
socially fragile (7).
Additionally, the Polypathological Patient and Advanced
Age Study Group, of the Spanish Society of Internal Med-
icine, has recently developed and validated a 1-year mor-
tality predictive index on PP, by means of a multicenter
prospective cohort-study recruiting 1,632 PP after hospi-
tal discharge, outpatient clinics, or home hospitalization,
from 33 hospitals (8). The PROFUND index includes nine
easy-to-achieve variables: one demographical (age ≥ 85
years, 3 points), four clinical (presence of active neoplasia,
6 points; dementia, 3 points; disabling dyspnea by means
of III–IV functional class on New York Heart Association
and/or Medical Research Council, 3 points; delirium dur-
ing last hospital admission, 3 points), one laboratory
(hemoglobinemia < 10 g/dL, 3 points), one functional
(Barthel index < 60 points, 4 points), one sociofamilial
(caregiver other than spouse or no caregiver; 2 points),
and one care (number of hospital admissions in last
12 months ≥4, 3 points) variable. Mortality in the
derivation/validation cohorts is detailed in Tables 1 and 2.
Calibration was good in derivation/validation cohorts,
and discrimination power by area under the curve was
0.77/0.7, respectively. When comparing the PROFUND
index with the Charlson–Deyo index, this last showed a good
calibration but a lower discrimination power (area under the
curve, 0.59).
We think, that this new notion of PP is in the way of solv-
ing this heterogeneity, because it comprises the 11 diagnosis
cited by the authors, points toward advanced-age populations
(mean age of PP in different studies ranged 74–78 years),
and reflects an homogeneous, emergent (in-hospital preva-
lence of PP ranges 24%–40%), and high-risk population
Letter to the Editor
A NEW PROGNOSTIC INDEX CENTERED ON POLYPATHOLOGICAL PATIENTS. THE PROFUND INDEX
Maximo Bernabeu-Wittel,
1
Francesc Formiga,
2
and Manuel Ollero-Baturone
1
; on behalf of the PROFUND
RESEARCHERS
1
Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Virgen del Rocío, Seville, Spain.
2
Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain.
Address correspondence to Máximo Bernabeu-Wittel, Ph.D., M.D, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospitales Universitarios Virgen del Rocío, Avda.
Manuel Siurot, s/n. 41013 Sevilla, Spain. Email: maxbw@telefonica.net
Received March 7, 2011; Accepted June 9, 2011
Decision Editor: Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD
Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/biomedgerontology/article-abstract/66A/12/1393/628636 by guest on 08 June 2020