Journal of Geography and Regional Planning Vol. 3(9), pp. 234-239, September 2010
Available online at http://www.academicjournals.org/JGRP
ISSN 2070-1845 ©2010 Academic Journals
Full Length Research Paper
Options for adapting to climate change in livestock-
dominated farming systems in the greater horn of
Africa
An Notenbaert
1
*, Andrew Mude
1
, Jeannette van de Steeg
1
and James Kinyangi
2
1
International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), P. O. Box 30709, 00100, Nairobi, Kenya.
2
Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa (AGRA), Mbabane, Swaziland.
Accepted 2 September, 2010
The greater horn of Africa is one of the least developed regions in Africa. Livestock are an important
economic resource and an essential asset for poor farmers in this region. Climate variability, population
growth, low economic development, limited market integration, and low fertilizer use, amongst others
put serious pressure on livestock production. The sustainability of the livestock production in the
rangelands and the integrated crop-livestock systems is further jeopardised by climate change. The
uncertainties associated with climate change impacts call for interventions that empower communities
to effectively cope with current climatic variability and to adapt to unexpected future consequences.
Risk management and climate-robust development both appear to be promising approaches. Index-
based livestock insurance, for example, offers innovative opportunities for protecting farmers’ assets,
while diversification in the arid- and semi-arid regions might turn into economically viable livelihood
strategies. These adaptation options will only be adopted if the right systems of incentives and policies
are put in place.
Key words: Climate change, livestock, diversification, insurance, farming systems, greater horn of Africa.
INTRODUCTION
The greater horn of Africa (GHA) is home to about 220
million people, and is among the poorest regions in the
world. The human development index for all countries of
the GHA falls far below 0.4, the cut-off point used by
UNDP to describe "abysmal human conditions" (UNDP,
2008). As a whole, the human development record of the
GHA compares unfavourably with that of sub-Saharan
Africa. Poverty levels are especially high in the rural
areas, where most people depend on agriculture for their
livelihood. Between 1980 and 1990 the percentage of the
rural population living in absolute poverty was 85% in
Sudan, 70% in Djibouti and Somalia, and 63% in Ethiopia
(The InterAfrica Group, 1995).
In this region, agricultural production is performed in a
myriad of different farming systems (Figure 1). The
largest human and livestock populations are supported
by mixed systems. Rainfed cropping is practised in the
*Corresponding author. E-mail: A.Notenbaert@cgiar.org. Tel:
254-20-422 30 00. Fax: 254-20-422 30 01.
relatively wet highlands of Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda,
Rwanda and Burundi. This is often integrated with
livestock keeping. Also in large parts of the arid to semi-
arid regions of Tanzania and Sudan integrated crop-
livestock farming is practised. Although rainfed food
production dominates in the GHA, extensive irrigation can
be found in Sudan and to a smaller extent along the river
in Somalia. The largest land area of the GHA is, however,
under rangelands (about 65%). They support substantial
populations in their livelihoods and contribute consider-
able amounts to the national budgets through livestock
production, but also wildlife and eco-tourism (Notenbaert
et al., 2009).
Throughout the GHA, livestock production is a vital
component of the economy. In Eritrea and Sudan, for
example, 57 to 62% of the agricultural GDP respectively
is coming from livestock. In Somalia this share goes up to
88% (Knip, 2004). For poor farmers, livestock are
recognized as essential assets for their livelihoods. There
are many reasons for which poor people keep livestock,
including for food, income, manure, traction, status and
as savings. This means that the role these animals play