Math. Meth. Oper. Res. (2006) 63: 151–168
DOI 10.1007/s00186-005-0020-x
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
U. C ¸ akmak · S.
¨
Ozekici
Portfolio optimization in stochastic markets
Received: Febraury 2005 / Revised version: March 2005 / Published online: 6 October 2005
© Springer-Verlag 2005
Abstract We consider a multiperiod mean-variance model where the model param-
eters change according to a stochastic market. The mean vector and covariance
matrix of the random returns of risky assets all depend on the state of the market
during any period where the market process is assumed to follow a Markov chain.
Dynamic programming is used to solve an auxiliary problem which, in turn, gives
the efficient frontier of the mean-variance formulation. An explicit expression is
obtained for the efficient frontier and an illustrative example is given to demonstrate
the application of the procedure.
Keywords Portfolio optimization · Stochastic market · Dynamic programming ·
Mean-variance models · Efficient frontier
1 Introduction
Portfolio management deals with the allocation of wealth among different invest-
ment opportunities in a market, considering investor’s preferences on risk and
return. Determination of the investment policy is a rather complex problem that is
affected by many factors. The classical mean-variance model of Markowitz (1952)
is undoubtedly the most celebrated one within the vast area of portfolio manage-
ment. In this paper, we consider a multiperiod model where the investor chooses
a portfolio at the beginning of each period depending on the state of a stochastic
market that affects both the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the asset
U. C ¸ akmak
School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology,
Atlanta, GA 30332-0205, USA
S.
¨
Ozekici (B )
Department of Industrial Engineering, Ko¸ c University,
34450 Sarıyer-
˙
Istanbul, Turkey
E-mail: sozekici@ku.edu.tr