1
© 2020 Conscientia Beam. All Rights Reserved.
ANALYSIS OF TRAFFIC ACCIDENT OCCURRENCE AT HAZARDOUS ROAD
LOCATIONS: A CASE STUDY IN TUNISIA
Fedy Ouni
1
Mounir Belloumi
2+
1
Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management, University of Sousse,
Tunisia.
2
Professor, College of Administrative Sciences, Najran University, Najran,
Saudi Arabia.
(+ Corresponding author)
ABSTRACT
Article History
Received: 14 November 2019
Revised: 23 December 2019
Accepted: 27 January 2020
Published: 2 March 2020
Keywords
Traffic accidents
Hazardous road locations
Negative binomial model
Random effects negative binomial
model
Tunisia
Efficient transportation systems
Traffic policies.
JEL Classification:
R41, R42.
The main objective of this study was to investigate the impact of factors linked to the
geometric, roadway and traffic flow characteristics on traffic accident occurrence at
Hazardous Road Locations (HRL) in the region of Sousse, Tunisia using longitudinal
data of 52 HRLs for an 11-year monitoring period from January 1, 2004 to December
31, 2014. The results of estimation of Negative Binomial model and the Random Effects
Negative Binomial model reported that the different variables representing the
presence of rural segment, the curved alignment, the visibility, the average daily traffic
volume, the presence of public lighting, the number of lane, the presence of
vertical/horizontal sign, the presence of drainage system, the presence of paved
shoulder, the roadway surface condition, and the presence of major road were the main
significant variables influencing accident occurrences. Therefore, the results could be
useful for deciders in the transport sector in order to implement effective measures to
improve road safety by adopting proper sound use practices, establishing efficient
transportation systems and formulating appropriate traffic policies and legislation.
Contribution/Originality: This is one of the few studies which have investigated the occurrence of traffic
accidents at Hazardous Road Locations in the region of Sousse (Tunisia) as a function of various explanatory factors
linked to the geometric characteristics, roadway characteristics and traffic flow characteristics.
1. INTRODUCTION
The accidents caused by road traffic are a very common cause of admission to the hospital around the world,
especially in developing countries. Disability, loss of days of work as consequence of the road traffic accidents lead
to further socioeconomic deprivation in the society. Road traffic collisions lead to massive social and economic costs.
Thus, traffic safety is an important issue especially in Tunisia. According to Hillier (2002) road accidents are the
results of the human, vehicle and environmental related factors. Precautions regarding these three aspects are
essential to take care from road accidents (Van Raemdonck & Macharis, 2014). Nowadays, road traffic safety is
considered as the most studied subjects in the field of transportation engineering. Every year, approximately 1.2
million deaths and about 50 million injuries are caused by road accidents (World Health Organization, 2013). The
mortality rates are highest in the eastern Mediterranean and in the African region. More than 90 per cent of road
deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries (World Health Organization, 2013). For example in Tunisia,
1443 persons were killed in 2016 and 11035 were injured in traffic-related crashes on the roads (National
International Journal of Public Policy and Administration
Research
2020 Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 1-15
ISSN(e): 2312-6515
ISSN(p): 2313-0423
DOI: 10.18488/journal.74.2020.71.1.15
© 2020 Conscientia Beam. All Rights Reserved.