©The Pakistan Development Review
48 : 4 Part II (Winter 2009) pp. 821–838
Fostering FDI in the Agriculture Sector
AREEF SULEMAN
*
I. INTRODUCTION
Irrespective of the level of sophistication and technological advancement achieved
by mankind, agriculture remains the backbone of human existence and survival. Despite
the benefits arising from technological progress, the corresponding higher yields and
more resistant crop varieties, the basic need and fundamental problem still facing the
world is food security.
With approximately 65 percent of Pakistan’s population living in rural areas, and
agriculture contributing approximately 20 percent to its GDP, it is clear that at the core of
any sustainable development and poverty reduction strategy is the development of
agriculture.
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Gallup (1997) shows that an additional one percent increase in per capita
agricultural output would result a 1.6 percent increase in the incomes of the poorest 20
percent of the population. These findings are further supported by Thirtle, et al. (2001).
who on the basis of cross-country analysis, found that a 1 percent increase in agriculture
yields would reduce the number of people living on less than $1 a day by 0.83 percent. In
addition, the growth linkages/multiplier effects between agriculture and the rest of the
economy are relatively strong with every $1 of additional farm income creating a further
$0.8 non-farm income in Asia [Bell, et al. (1982); Hazell and Ramaswamy (1991)]. The
multipliers are even stronger in the case of Africa where it ranges from $0.96 in Niger to
$1.68 in Burkina Faso [Delgado, et al. (1998)].
The importance attributed to the agriculture sector was given further impetus in
2008, when food prices surged, and limited food supplies threatened food security in
several countries, and triggered civil unrest in several others. This resulted in many
countries (notably the GCC), exploring alternatives for investing in the agriculture sector.
In the case of the GCC, investing in agriculture is a shift from previous self-sufficiency
schemes, and is being undertaken to firstly ensure food security, and secondly to maintain
price stability and reduce exposure to market volatilities in their home countries. This
presents a unique opportunity for countries such as Pakistan which have under-utilised
agriculture land to benefit from the potential FDI in agriculture.
However, despite significant interest in FDI in the agriculture, and the desire to
promote FDI in the sector, progress with investment remains minimal, and the constraints
Areef Suleman <areef@isdb.org> is associated with Islamic Development Bank Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.
Author’s Note: This paper is a distillation of the findings of the IDB occasional paper on “Fostering
Intra-OIC FDI in the Agriculture Sector” prepared by the author.
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IDB (2008a).