The online version of this article (http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13253-010-0043-5) contains supple-
mentary material, which is available to authorized users.
Statistical Modelling of Neighbor Treatment
Effects in Aquaculture Clinical Trials
Elmabrok MASAOUD, Henrik S TRYHN, Shona WHYTE, and
William J. BROWNE
In the design of clinical trials involving fish observed over time in tanks, there may
be advantages in housing several treatment groups within the same tank. In particular,
such “within-tank” designs will be more efficient than designs with treatment groups
in separate tanks when substantial between-tank variability is expected. One potential
problem with within-tank designs is that it may not be possible to include all treatments
in one tank; in statistical terms this means that the blocks (tanks) are incomplete. In
incomplete block designs, there may be a concern that the treatments present in the
same tank (denoted here as “neighbors”) affect each other in their performance; thus
the need for an assessment of neighbor effects. In this paper, we propose two statistical
approaches to assess and account for neighbor effects. The first approach is based on a
non-linear mixed model and the second involves cross-classified and multiple member-
ship models. Both approaches are illustrated on simulated data as well as data from a
clinical ISAV (Infectious Salmon Anaemia Virus) trial; corresponding computer code
is available online.
The simulation studies demonstrated that both models show promise in capturing
neighbor treatment effects of the type assumed for the models, whenever such neighbor
effects are of at least moderate magnitude. In the absence of or with low magnitudes of
neighbor effects, the non-linear mixed model faced numerical challenges and produced
noisy results. One version of the cross-classified and multiple membership model was
shown to depend strongly on prior information about variance-covariance parameters
for datasets similar to the ISAV data. Analyses of the ISAV trial data by both models
did not provide any evidence of substantial neighbor effects.
Key Words: Aquaculture; Infectious salmon anaemia virus; Cross-classified and mul-
tiple membership models; Mortality; Non-linear model; Simulation.
Elmabrok Masaoud is Assistant Professor in Biostatics, Centre for Veterinary Epidemiological Research, Uni-
versity of Prince Edward Island, 550 University Avenue, Charlottetown, PE C1A 4P3, Canada and University
of Seventh of April, Faculty of Science, P.O. Box 16418, Zawia, Libya, Henrik Stryhn ( ) is Associate Pro-
fessor in Biostatics (E-mail: hstryhn@upei.ca) and Shona Whyte is Research Scientist, Centre for Veterinary
Epidemiological Research, University of Prince Edward Island, 550 University Avenue, Charlottetown, PE C1A
4P3, Canada. William J. Browne is Professor in Biostatics, University of Bristol, School of Clinical Veterinary
Sciences, Langford BS40 5DU, UK.
© 2010 International Biometric Society
Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, Volume 16, Number 2, Pages 202–220
DOI: 10.1007/s13253-010-0043-5
202