Emerging financial risks from
climate changes on building assets
in the UK
Abdullah Alzahrani
Municipality of Taif, Taif, Saudi Arabia, and
Halim Boussabaine and Khalid Almarri
Faculty of Engineering and IT, British University in Dubai, Dubai,
United Arab Emirates
Abstract
Purpose – The different scenarios of climate change, such as floods, temperature change and storms, are
considered the main drivers influencing the building sector. Understanding how and when these climatic
risks will emerge, specifically financial risks, is pivotal in dealing with these risks and applying the
adaptation and mitigation strategies so as to minimise the effects and damages. Thus, the purpose of this
paper is to discover the financial risks emerging from climate change impact on the building sector and
determine the timescale of occurrence for such risks.
Design/methodology/approach – The research methodology formulated in this study is founded on a
systematic literature review and statistical analysis. Built on this, the potential financial risks emerging from
climate change scenarios (CCS) were identified and designed as a questionnaire to collect data from UK expert
professionals. Statistical methods were used to rank and compare the outcomes of the survey.
Findings – The research observed that around 40 per cent of the participants in this study indicated that
one-third of the total identified financial risks (23 factors) would emerge within 5-10 years. The most important
factors are increased insurance excess and additional expense in insuring buildings in flood risk zones, whilst
the least important financial risks are inability to repay debts and un-insurability because of climate change.
Research limitations/implications – This study is limited to the UK, and regional implications are not
covered. However, it is a starting point.
Originality/value – The main contribution of this research project is establishing and developing clusters
of the potential risks emerging from CCS, which can assist professionals in the building sector in the
management and development of strategies to cope with these emerging risks.
Keywords Project management, Climate change, Risk management, Facilities management,
Building, Assets, Asset management, Building life cycle, Financial risk, Emerging risks
Paper type Research paper
Introduction
The theories behind the emergence of climate change are mainly attributed to the increase of
human activities on the earth, especially during the beginning and continuation of the
industrial era, which is responsible for the production of huge amounts of greenhouse gas
emissions (McMullen and Jabbour, 2009; Woodward, 2008; Hertin et al., 2003; Changnon,
1995). These drivers have significantly contributed to the different ways in increasing the
frequency of climate change scenarios (CCS) during recent decades (De Wilde and Coley,
2012; Steenbergen et al., 2012; Garvin et al., 1998; Pretlove and Oreszczyn, 1998). Increases in
severity and the frequency of extreme events of CCSs is also owing to the changes in the
temperature of the sea’s surface (Solomon et al., 2007). Climate change has become a global
F
36,9/10
460
Received 24 May 2017
Revised 2 October 2017
Accepted 2 November 2017
Facilities
Vol. 36 No. 9/10, 2018
pp. 460-475
© Emerald Publishing Limited
0263-2772
DOI 10.1108/F-05-2017-0054
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