Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 2019, 9, 298-309
http://www.scirp.org/journal/acs
ISSN Online: 2160-0422
ISSN Print: 2160-0414
DOI: 10.4236/acs.2019.93021 Jun. 17, 2019 298 Atmospheric and Climate Sciences
Assessment of Drought Vulnerability and
Occurrence Zones in North Central Nigeria
Oye Ideki
1*
, Vincent E. Weli
2
1
Department of Meteorology and Climate Change, Nigeria Maritime University, Okerenkoko, Nigeria
2
Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Port Harcourt, Port Harcourt, Nigeria
Abstract
Assessment of drought vulnerability and occurrence zones in North Central
Nigeria was carried out in this study using standardized Precipitation Index
(SPI). The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) 12 months’ time scale was
computed from long-term rainfall data between 1960 and 2015 obtained from
the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) Abuja. The SPI results were
further subjected to Mann-Kendal and Sen’s slope analysis for trend detec-
tion. To assess the vulnerability of drought and occurrence zones, the SPI and
other geo-spatial techniques were employed to generate drought vulnerability
maps for three epochs: 2000-2005, 2005-2010 and 2010-2015 respectively. The
SPI values were interpolated using Inverse Weighted (IDW) techniques in
ArcGIS10.5 to generate the vulnerability maps for the selected model years.
The outcome of drought trend and vulnerability maps reveals increasing
drought trend dominated by near normal and moderate conditions in Abuja,
Ilorin and Lokoja while moderate and severe droughts were observed in
Minna and Jos. The study therefore recommends holistic drought monitoring
and management strategies in order to mitigate its adverse impact on water
resources and rainfall-dependent agriculture.
Keywords
Drought, Vulnerability, Rainfall, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI),
Occurrence Zones, North Central, Nigeria
1. Introduction
Drought is a devastating disaster that is known globally due to its subtle effects
on agriculture, forestry, vegetation and human economic activities [1]. The
agro-industry is severely affected by drought as vegetation and plants suffer the
How to cite this paper: Ideki, O. and Weli,
V.E. (2019) Assessment of Drought Vulne-
rability and Occurrence Zones in North
Central Nigeria. Atmospheric and Climate
Sciences, 9, 298-309.
https://doi.org/10.4236/acs.2019.93021
Received: April 4, 2019
Accepted: June 14, 2019
Published: June 17, 2019
Copyright © 2019 by author(s) and
Scientific Research Publishing Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative
Commons Attribution International
License (CC BY 4.0).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Open Access