Theoretical Economics Letters, 2018, 8, 3481-3491
http://www.scirp.org/journal/tel
ISSN Online: 2162-2086
ISSN Print: 2162-2078
Social Security, Retirement and Economic
Growth
Kuo-Ting Hua
Department of Economics, National Chi Nan University, Taiwan
Abstract
Population aging alters decisions of retirement and intergenerational trans-
fers simultaneously. With the consideration of both decisions, this paper in-
vestigates the economic impacts of population aging in an Overlap-
ping-Generation (OLG) model under social security coverage. Results show
that the economy grows slower with voluntarily increased elderly labor
supply than otherwise. Ignoring the interactions between these decisions may
lead to a serious mis-estimation. Results also show that mandatory postpon-
ing retirement creates disincentive to saving and hinders the economy. To
prevent the economy from slowing down and fertility from falling, mandato-
ry postponing retirement must be accompanied by a lower replacement ratio.
Keywords
Retirement, Fertility, Social Security, Growth
1. Introduction
Over the last few decades, people are getting worried about the changes posed by
the burden of population aging on the working generation and eventually on the
economy. With population aging, working parents choose to postpone their re-
tirement [1] [2] [3]. With additional labor supply from the elderly, the economy
grows faster. However, under Pay-As-You-Go (PAYG) social security coverage,
working parents pay more social security tax for the elderly and save more for
their retirement while spending less on their children [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]. The
economy grows slower because of the loss of education investment. These two
independent lines of literature conclude differently on the economic perfor-
mance.
Figure 1 depicts impacts of population aging in OECD countries. Notice that
retirement age is increasing and fertility and education investment percentage
How to cite this paper: Hua, K.-T. (2018)
Social Security, Retirement and Economic
Growth. Theoretical Economics Letters, 8,
3481-3491.
https://doi.org/10.4236/tel.2018.815214
Received: October 15, 2018
Accepted: December 2, 2018
Published: December 5, 2018
Copyright © 2018 by author and
Scientific Research Publishing Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative
Commons Attribution International
License (CC BY 4.0).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Open Access
DOI: 10.4236/tel.2018.815214 Dec. 5, 2018 3481 Theoretical Economics Letters