International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE)
Vol. 6, No. 6, December 2016, pp. 3196~3204
ISSN: 2088-8708, DOI: 10.11591/ijece.v6i6.13323 3196
Journal homepage: http://iaesjournal.com/online/index.php/IJECE
Performance Forecasting of Share Market using Machine
Learning Techniques: A Review
Sachin Kamley
1
, Shailesh Jaloree
2
, R. S. Thakur
3
1
Department of Computer Applications, S.A.T.I., Vidisha, India
2
Department of Applied Math’s & Computer Science, S.A.T.I., Vidisha, India
3
Department of Computer Applications, M.A.N.I.T., Bhopal, India
Article Info ABSTRACT
Article history:
Received Aug 20, 2016
Revised Nov 12, 2016
Accepted Nov 26, 2016
Forecasting share performance becomes more challenging issue due to the
enormous amount of valuable trading data stored in the stock database.
Currently, existing forecasting methods are insufficient to analyze the share
performance accurately. There are two main reasons for that: First, the study
of existing forecasting methods is still insufficient to identify the most
suitable methods for share price prediction. Second, the lack of investigations
made on the factors affecting the share performance. In this regard, this study
presents a systematic review of the last fifteen years on various machine
learning techniques in order to analyze share performance accurately. The
only objective of this study is to provide an overview of the machine learning
techniques that have been used to forecast share performance. This paper
also highlights a how the prediction algorithms can be used to identify the
most important variables in a share market dataset. Finally, we could have
succeeded to analyze share performance effectively. It could bring benefits
and impacts to researchers, society, brokers and financial analysts.
Keyword:
Machine learning
Performance forecasting
Share market
Copyright © 2016 Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science.
All rights reserved.
Corresponding Author:
Sachin Kamley,
Departement of Computer Applications,
S.A.T.I.,
B.T.I. Road, Sherpura, Vidisha, 464001, MP. India.
Email:skamley@gmail.com
1. INTRODUCTION
Now a day, share price prediction is an important concern for policy makers, researchers and
investors because accurate price prediction plays key role in investment decision making. In general, stock
market nature is considered to be chaotic and complicated, but it has been influenced by several economic
and external environmental factors. Therefore, share market analyses have been using some approaches for
predicting share prices.
The random walk theory states that share price movements are independent of each other and price
movements do not follow any patterns or trends [1]. Thus, it is practically impossible to predict the future
price movements based on the historical data.
On the other hand, technical analysis can be used to identify the patterns and trends based on the
historic prices [1]. So therefore, future price movements can be done by examining past share prices. For
many years, technical analyses with statistical approaches have been widely applied to this area in order to
develop some concepts and strategies to be helpful for share performance forecasting [1-2].
Currently, there are various techniques have been proposed to evaluate share performance. Machine
learning is one of the core areas which has been widely used to analyze share performance. The main
objective of machine learning techniques is to automatically learn and recognize patterns from huge amounts