Journal of Geographic Information System, 2015, 7, 226-257
Published Online April 2015 in SciRes. http://www.scirp.org/journal/jgis
http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/jgis.2015.72019
How to cite this paper: Ahmed, K.M.S., Hamid, A.A. and Doka, A. (2015) Investigation of Spatial Risk Factors for RVF Dis-
ease Occurrence Using Remote Sensing & GIS—A Case Study: Sinnar State, Sudan. Journal of Geographic Information Sys-
tem, 7, 226-257. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/jgis.2015.72019
Investigation of Spatial Risk Factors
for RVF Disease Occurrence Using
Remote Sensing & GIS—A Case Study:
Sinnar State, Sudan
Kowther Mohamed Saeed Ahmed
1
, Amna Ahmed Hamid
2
, Abbas Doka
3
1
Remote Sensing & Geographical Information System Master Program, Sudan Academic of Sciences (SAS),
Khartoum, Sudan
2
Remote Sensing & Geographical Information System Program, Remote Sensing Authority-National Center for
Research, Khartoum, Sudan
3
College of Agricultural Studies, Sudan University of Science & Technology, Khartoum, Sudan
Email: kowthersaeed@yahoo.com , amnaah71@gmail.com , adoka21@gmail.com
Received 4 February 2015; accepted 18 April 2015; published 22 April 2015
Copyright © 2015 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Abstract
Rift Valley Fever (RVF) is an emerging, mosquito-borne disease with serious economical and nega-
tive implications on human and animal health. This study was conducted to verify the factors
which influenced the spatial pattern of Rift Valley Fever occurrence and identified the high risk
areas for the occurrence of the disease at Sinner State, Sudan. The normalized difference vegeta-
tion index (NDVI) derived from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite
and rainfall data in addition to the point data of RVF clinical cases in humans were used in this
study. In order to identify the RVF high risk areas, remote sensing data and rainfall data were in-
tegrated in a GIS with other information including, soil type, water body, DEM (Digital Elevation
Model), and animal routes and analyzed using Spatial Analysis tools. The information on clinical
cases was used for verification. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) was used to
describe vegetation patterns of the study area by calculating the mean NDVI. The results of the
study showed that, RVF risk increased with the increase in vegetation cover (high NDVI values),
and increase in rainfall, which both provided suitable conditions for disease vectors breeding and
a good indicator for RVF epizootics. The study concluded that, identification of high risk area for
RVF disease improved the understanding of the spatial distribution of the disease and helped in
locating the areas where disease was likely to be endemic and therefore preparedness measures
should be taken. The identification represents the first step of prospective predictions of RVF out-
breaks and provides a baseline for improved early warning, control, response planning, and miti-
gation. Further detailed studies are recommended in this domain.