Contemplating the Role of Precision and Range
in Homeland Security Policy Analysis: A Response
to Mueller
Warren S. Eller and Brian J. Gerber
In an effort to address some of the gaps in homeland security policy analysis—at present a relatively
understudied topic from an analytic perspective—Professor Mueller offers an examination of policy
decision making for a subset of low probability–high consequence events; particularly the idea of passive
asset defense. This article provides a critical examination of Professor Mueller’s work, tendering what
we identify as a number of critical limitations with his framework and argues it does not provide an
adequate basis for sound analysis in this policy area. We also offer several suggestions where one could
build upon a portion of the groundwork his paper lays, especially in moving toward a greater appre-
ciation of what terrorism means for an all-hazards management system.
Introduction
The United States currently devotes a tremendous amount of resources to home-
land security across its federal system. The breadth of the homeland security
rubric—encompassing natural and technological hazards along with the terrorism
hazard—presents a variety of policy development and public management chal-
lenges. From a policy analysis perspective, generating assessments of what govern-
ment should do in the face of an array of complex and potentially interdependent
problems is no mean feat, to put it mildly. For example, even defining with precision
the actual dollar value of resources devoted to antiterrorism
1
measures requires
subjective judgments. Consider the case of accounting for the dual (perhaps multi-
dimensional) nature of resource expenditures that an agency like the Center for
Disease Control commits to addressing the threat of pandemic illness. Such efforts
have simultaneous preparedness and mitigation effects for potential bioterrorism
attacks (hence homeland security relevancy), in addition to their more direct intent
of protecting public health. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has a
roughly 50 billion dollar annual budget, but as an amalgam of nearly two dozen
separate administrative agencies at its creation, the subunits of DHS have a variety of
functional tasks that probably should not be construed as directly constituting anti-
terrorism efforts—unless, of course, one wishes to define those tasks as such. To
The Policy Studies Journal, Vol. 38, No. 1, 2010
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0190-292X © 2010 Policy Studies Organization
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