2006-21-0008
New Demands from an Older Population: An Integrated
Approach to Defining the Future of Older Driver Safety
Joseph F. Coughlin and Bryan Reimer
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
ABSTRACT
The nearly 77 million baby boomers, born
between 1946 and 1964, can say that they are
the automobile generation. Now turning 60 one
every seven seconds, what are the new safety
challenges and opportunities posed by the next
generation of older adults? This paper presents
a modified Haddon matrix to identify key product
development, design and liability issues
confronting the automobile industry and related
stakeholders. The industry is now at a critical
juncture to address the development of key
technological innovations as well as the
changing policy and liability environments being
reshaped by an aging population.
INTRODUCTION
January 2006 the baby boomers began turning
60. Born between 1946 and 1964 the nearly 77
million adults can say that they are the
automobile generation. From cradle – some may
even suggest from conception – to grave the
baby boomers have defined and driven
innovation in the car. Innovations in power and
control to meet the needs of their fast paced
lives, design to match their penchant for
redefining lifestyles, economy and quality to
respond to their changing needs and fickle
brand loyalties. Whether discussing the baby
boomers in North America, Europe or the Dan
Kai in Japan, the aging of the once perpetually
youthful automobile market is posing new
challenges for the automobile industry. While
safety has always been important, the aging of
the boomers is making safety a greater priority
for older consumers, insurers and governments.
Aging boomers will present many of the same
safety issues posed by their parents, such as
improved safety restraint systems. Next
generation safety restraint systems with older
occupants in mind are already in many of
today’s vehicles or in future deployment plans.
Active safety for older operators and passengers
may hold still greater promise and challenge.
However, the next generation of older
consumers will also introduce novel
expectations for safety-inspired design,
engineering and services. The baby boomers
will demand an integrated systematic response
to their multiple safety needs which will be
defined by the profound impact of in-vehicle
warning/informatics on older operators, the
largest generation of older women drivers in
history, mass awareness of health and medical
conditions on driver performance, and the
unique trauma needs presented by older people.
This paper suggests that a more complete look
at the older consumer is needed to reconcile the
car as a mobility, safety and service platform.
Future automobile safety systems will require
special attention to the impact of warning and
information systems on the older user, the
integration of personalized monitoring and
safety systems, and the introduction of
information-rich links to emergency and trauma
services in the event of a crash. The automobile
industry is now at a unique juncture to address
these issues and respond to growing interest
and concern related to older drivers in insurer
and legal communities as well as among
government regulators in North America and
beyond.
NEW AUTOMOBILE SAFETY DEMANDS
FROM AN OLDER POPULATION
Over the next ten years, at least 25 percent of
automobile buyers will be over age 50. These
“older” consumers purchase the majority of
premium luxury vehicles – platforms that deliver
the industry’s highest profits margins (Coughlin,
2005). Of all the highly motorized nations, the
United States is most likely have the largest
Copyright © 2006 Convergence Transportation Electronics Association and SAE International