Cost-Effectiveness of Treatment for Threshold Retinopathy
of Prematurity
Gary C. Brown, MD, MBA*‡; Melissa M. Brown, MN, MD, MBA*§; Sanjay Sharma, MD, MSc(Epid)*;
William Tasman, MD‡; and Heidi C. Brown*
ABSTRACT. Objective. Retinopathy of prematurity
(ROP) is a leading cause of adverse visual outcomes in
premature infants. Both laser photocoagulation and cryo-
therapy have been demonstrated in clinical trials to be
efficacious in reducing the incidence of visual loss occur-
ring secondary to threshold ROP. Visual data recently
have become available concerning the long-term clinical
efficacy of both treatments, as have data concerning the
utility value of visual states in general. Accordingly, we
undertook an analysis to ascertain the cost-effectiveness
of laser photocoagulation and cryotherapy in the treat-
ment of threshold ROP.
Design. A computer simulation economic model is
presented to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of cryother-
apy and laser photocoagulation therapy, compared with
the natural course of the disease, for treating premature
infants with threshold ROP. The model applies long-
term visual data from previous clinical trials, utility anal-
ysis, decision analysis, and economic principles, such as
present value analysis, to account for the time value of
money to arrive at a cost per quality-adjusted life-year
(QALY) gained.
Outcome Measures. Cost per QALY gained from laser
therapy and cryotherapy.
Results. Laser photocoagulation therapy for thresh-
old ROP costs $678 1998 US dollars (at a 3% discount rate
to account for the time value of money) for each QALY
gained from treatment. Cryotherapy for the same disease
costs $1801 per QALY at a similar discount rate.
Conclusions. From the point of view of cost-effective-
ness, laser therapy seems to have an advantage over
cryotherapy for the treatment of threshold ROP.
Pediatrics 1999;104(4). URL: http://www.pediatrics.org/
cgi/content/full/104/4/e47; threshold retinopathy of pre-
maturity, laser therapy, cryotherapy, cost-effectiveness.
ABBREVIATIONS. ROP, retinopathy of prematurity; HCFA,
Health Care Financing Agency; CPT, Current Procedural Termi-
nology; QALY, quality-adjusted life year; $/QALY, cost per qual-
ity-adjusted life-year.
R
etinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is the leading
cause of blindness among premature infants.
1
It occurs in some form in 32% of infants with
birth weights 1000 g.
1
Among those infants with
birth weights 1251 g, 7% to 8% will develop thresh-
old ROP.
2
Threshold ROP is defined as proliferative
retinal vascular disease that is located in zone 1 or 2
in conjunction with plus disease and associated with
5 contiguous or 8 cumulative clock hours of extrareti-
nal neovascularization.
1
Of those who are treated for
threshold disease, the long-term survival is 88%.
3
The Multicenter Trial of Cryotherapy for ROP ini-
tially demonstrated that retinal cryotherapy for
threshold ROP decreased the incidence of an unfa-
vorable anatomic outcome from 51% to 31%.
2
Subse-
quently, the Laser ROP Study Group
4
showed with a
meta-analysis that the risk of an unfavorable out-
come in eyes with threshold ROP was 19% with
cryotherapy and 8% with laser therapy.
Now that children who were treated for threshold
ROP are maturing, data concerning the long-term
visual acuity results from prospective clinical trials
are available.
5–7
It seems that the mean visual acuity
in eyes treated for threshold ROP may be better in
those children treated with laser photocoagulation
than in those treated with cryotherapy. Although
systemic complications can be associated with cryo-
therapy
8
and laser therapy,
9
the incidence of such
complications seems to be low.
Cost-effective analyses that involve utility theory
are being reported with increasing frequency.
10 –13
Utility analysis incorporates patient-based prefer-
ences that allow the quality of life associated with a
health (disease) state to be quantified. In view of
recent data concerning utility values in patients with
visual loss
14
and new information on visual results
after therapy for ROP,
5–7
we undertook an analysis of
the cost-effectiveness of laser photocoagulation and
cryotherapy for the treatment of threshold ROP.
METHODS
Overview
Software produced by Treeage, Inc (Williamstown, MA)
15
was
used to perform decision analysis to simulate the clinical situation
involving laser therapy, cryotherapy, and no therapy for patients
with threshold ROP. This microcomputer model takes into ac-
count the mortality within this group of patients, as well as the
treatment results expressed in utility form. The numbers of uni-
lateral and bilateral cases also were factored into the analysis.
Utility values were used at the terminal nodes at the right side of
the decision tree to provide the most probable utility value out-
comes given the different possible clinical scenarios. The utility
From the *Center for Evidence-Based Healthcare, Flourtown, Pennsylvania;
the ‡Retina Service and the §Cataract and Primary Eye Care Service, Wills
Eye Hospital, Jefferson Medical College, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and
the Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts Eye and Ear Infirmary, Harvard
Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Received for publication Dec 31, 1998; accepted Apr 26, 1999.
Reprint requests to (G.C.B.) Center for Evidence-Based Healthcare, Suite
210, 1107 Bethlehem Pike, Flourtown, PA 19031. E-mail: gary0514@aol.com
PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1999 by the American Acad-
emy of Pediatrics.
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