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Chapter 9
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-5225-2095-5.ch009
ABSTRACT
Opinion polling during elections plays a pivotal role in infuencing the political and media agenda, and
can potentially afect voting behaviour. However, evidence from various countries indicates that elec-
toral polls have been characterised by contradictions and contentious debates which undermine their
usefulness in democratic processes. The digital age has also led to a mushrooming of online polls, but
some of them are of dubious quality. Thus, the chapter questions the continued use of electoral polls in
multiparty politics in Africa. It argues that as a result of the inherent political and electoral volatility
in many African countries, the utility of opinion polls need to be reconsidered. The paper recommends
strategies for addressing the identifed pitfalls, including increased professionalization of opinion poll-
ing, voter education on the limitations of pre-election polls and stronger appreciation of data journalism
for media professionals. Stricter regulations, such as the embargo of election opinion polling may also
be considered in diferent contexts.
INTRODUCTION
For over 80 years, opinion polling has been a major element of democratic polity and a source of data
and information across the world. Polls are a permanent feature of democratic processes and are essen-
tial to policy making and public engagement on social issues globally (Esomar & Wapor, 2014; Lewis,
2001). As a component of survey research, opinion polls help to describe, understand, explain, analyse
and predict the perceptions and behaviour of a population or its sample (Fayoyin & Ngwainmbi, 2015;
Kou & Sobel, 2004).
Electoral Polling and
Reporting in Africa:
Professional and Policy Implications
for Media Practice and Political
Communication in a Digital Age
Adebayo Fayoyin
United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), South Africa