Urban Growth and Land Use Simulation Using
SLEUTH Model for Adama City, Ethiopia
Yanit Mekonnen
1(B )
and S. K. Ghosh
2
1
Department of Architecture, Dilla University, SNNPR, Dilla, Ethiopia
tinayeth@gmail.com
2
Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee,
Uttarakhand, India
Abstract. Urban Growth Model has been adapted to study the urban growth
and its impact on the surrounding environment. Here a cellular automaton model
known as SLEUTH has been standardize using multi historical digital maps of
areas to forecast the future coverage of an urban and land use. The model will use
the best fit growth rule parameters by narrowing coefficients throughout calibration
mode and passed down to predict future urban growth pattern, generate various
probability map and LULC map. As per SLEUTH modelling, the generated future
urban growth pattern prediction of Adama city shows that nearly 42.89% urban
rise in 2020, 46.85% in 2030, 49.15% in 2040 and 50.49% in 2050. Generally, the
expansion of the urban growth pattern is exhibiting new spreading centre which
are indication of a city to expand also the result present useful information for
future urban planning and improvement.
Keywords: Urban growth · GIS and remote sensing · SLEUTH
1 Introduction
Modelling urban growth is a significant information for analysis and evaluation towards
the sustainable improvement of a city. The ecological effects and degree of urban issues
have been developing and producing solid imbalance between the city and its environ-
ment. The need to address this intricacy in evaluating and checking the urban arranging
and the executive’s procedures and practices is unequivocally felt in the recent years
(Lavalle 2002).
The international contributors are progressively connected with the critical ecological
errands for the feasible improvement of their urban areas, the planning difficulties looked
by the nearby authorities, and the significance of remote sensing data and GIS techniques
in the investigation of urban growth to address these difficulties. Deciding the rate of
urban spatial arrangement and urban growth, from remote sensing data, is a pervasive
approach in contemporary urban geographic studies. Characterized urban structure, map
of growth from remotely sensed data can help planners to visualize the directions of the
urban, basic frameworks, functions, and structures (Bhatta et al. 2010). However, despite
the fast improvement of remote sensing technologies, there is no end phases of intriguing
© ICST Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering 2020
Published by Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020. All Rights Reserved
N. G. Habtu et al. (Eds.): ICAST 2019, LNICST 308, pp. 279–293, 2020.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-43690-2_19