Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation, 2018, 6, 45-57
http://www.scirp.org/journal/ojmsi
ISSN Online: 2327-4026
ISSN Print: 2327-4018
DOI: 10.4236/ojmsi.2018.63004 Jul. 13, 2018 45 Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation
A Model for Predicting Migration from IPV4 to
IPV6 by 2027 in Nigeria
Emmanuel Ekwonwune Nwabueze
1*
, Ejike Nwosu C.
2
, Oliver Eberechi Osuagwu
1
1
Department of Computer Science, Imo State University, Owerri, Nigeria
2
Department of Computer Science, Gregory University, Uturu, Nigeria
Abstract
The present internet version which was established and consolidated over in-
ternet protocol version 4 (IPV4) in 1981, and whose amount of public ad-
dresses available is insufficient to meet the demands explosion and current
internet multimedia devices, services and application intensive environment
has posed serious problems of incomplete web transactions. Stakeholders and
communication industry in Nigeria are unwilling and feel reluctant to migrate
to IPV6 because of inhibiting factors. This needs urgent redress to overcome
the tractions that are responsible for apathy to migration from IPV4 to IPV6
launched in 1994 by the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF). If nothing is
done, sometime, internet may run out of space, ARIN [1]. Users may suffer
disillusionment and frustration. The objective of this study therefore is to de-
sign a model for predicting migration from IPV4 to IPV6 in Nigeria by 2027
based on growth trend developed from statistical indices. The essence is to ex-
plore and analyze the factors that can encourage migration to IPV6 in the next
10 years and use those factors to forecast growth, so that IPV6 will receive
boost in terms of growth and patronage. The study also aims at designing a
predictive model that simulates the behaviour of the restrictive policies on
migration to 1PV6 so as to ascertain the current impact on non-motivation
and unwillingness to migrate to IPV6 in Nigeria. The motivation behind this
study is to identify the inhibiting factors responsible for lack of motivation to
migrate from IPV4 to IPV6 in Nigeria. The methodologies that were deployed
in packaging the model include the statistical methodology, Structured Sys-
tems Analysis and Design Methodology (SSADM) and prototyping. The result
is indeed functional software, programmed through Visual Basic. Net.
(VB.Net) that can be used to simulate the behavioural impact of any govern-
ment policy formulation for Telecommunication industry and stakeholders.
Keywords
Model, Predicting, Migration, IPV4, IPV6 Inhibiting Factors
How to cite this paper: Ekwonwune, E.N.,
Ejike Nwosu C. and Osuagwu, O.E. (2018)
A Model for Predicting Migration from
IPV4 to IPV6 by 2027 in Nigeria. Open
Journal of Modelling and Simulation, 6,
45-57.
https://doi.org/10.4236/ojmsi.2018.63004
Received: March 4, 2018
Accepted: July 10, 2018
Published: July 13, 2018
Copyright © 2018 by authors and
Scientific Research Publishing Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative
Commons Attribution International
License (CC BY 4.0).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Open Access