© 2011 Shahidul I. Khan, Asif Islam, Alimul Haque Khan.This is a research/review paper, distributed under the terms of the
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Global Journal of Researches in Engineering
Volume 11 Issue 1
Type: Double Blind Peer Reviewed International Research Journal
Publisher: Global Journals Inc. (USA)
Energy Forecasting of Bangladesh in Gas Sector Using LEAP
Software
By Shahidul I. Khan, Asif Islam, Alimul Haque Khan
Bangladesh University of Engineering & Technology, Energypac Engineering Ltd., International Islamic
University of Chittagong
Abstract- This paper represents the first application of Long-Range Energy Alternative Planning
(LEAP) software in energy forecasting of gas sector in Bangladesh. LEAP is used to take
government decisions in many developed countries. In this work, at first the data on amount of
gas consumption in different sectors of Bangladesh have been collected from year 1993 up-to
year 2007. Then using ‘Linear’ and ‘Exponential’ time series wizard, gas consumption of these
sectors has been forecasted up-to year 2020. Comparison between the results of forecasted
data using aforementioned two time-series wizards have been discussed. The most acceptable
forecasting model and why it wasn’t used in this work have also been discussed thoroughly.
Keywords: Energy Forecast, Exponential Forecast, Linear Forecast, Logistic Forecast, Long
Range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP)
Classification: GJRE-J FOR Classification: 850103
EnergyForecastingofBangladeshinGasSectorUsingLEAPSoftware
Strictly as per the compliance and regulations of:
Version 1.0 February 2011
ISSN: 0975-5861