Research Article
Determinants of Mortality among Adult HIV-Infected Patients
on Antiretroviral Therapy in a Rural Hospital in Southeastern
Nigeria: A 5-Year Cohort Study
Kelechi N. Eguzo,
1,2
Adegboyega K. Lawal,
1
Cynthia E. Eseigbe,
3
and Chisara C. Umezurike
2
1
School of Public Health, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada S7N 5E5
2
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Nigerian Christian Hospital, Aba, Abia State 450001, Nigeria
3
Department of Laboratory Services, Nigerian Christian Hospital, Aba, Abia State 450001, Nigeria
Correspondence should be addressed to Kelechi N. Eguzo; keguzo@gmail.com
Received 14 February 2014; Revised 10 July 2014; Accepted 10 July 2014; Published 6 August 2014
Academic Editor: P. K. Nicholas
Copyright © 2014 Kelechi N. Eguzo et al. Tis is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly
cited.
Background. Study examined the determinants of mortality among adult HIV patients in a rural, tertiary hospital in southeastern
Nigeria, comparing mortality among various ART regimens. Methods. Retrospective cohort study of 1069 patients on ART between
August 2008 and October 2013. Baseline CD4 counts, age, gender, and ART regimen were considered in this study. Kaplan-Meier
method was used to estimate survival and Cox proportional hazards models to identify multivariate predictors of mortality. Median
follow-up period was 24 months (IQR 6–45). Results. 78 (7.3%) patients died with 15.6% lost to followup. Signifcant independent
predictors of mortality include age (>45), sex (male > female), baseline CD4 stage (<200), and ART combination. Adjusted mortality
hazard was 3 times higher among patients with CD4 count <200 cells/L than those with counts >500 (95% CI 1.69–13.59). Patients
on Truvada-based frst-line regimens were 88% more likely to die than those on Combivir-based frst line (95% CI 1.05–3.36),
especially those with CD4 count <200 cells/L. Conclusion. Study showed lower mortality than most studies in Nigeria and Africa,
with mortality higher among males and patients with CD4 count <200. Further studies are recommended to further compare
treatment outcomes between Combivir- and Truvada-based regimens in resource-limited settings using clinical indicators.
1. Introduction
In 2008, it was estimated that 33.4 million people were living
with HIV/AIDS worldwide, with about 70% of those in
sub-Saharan Africa [1]. Poor access to treatment services,
poverty, and ignorance have contributed to the high mortality
associated with this disease in the region [2]. Following
the discovery of the disease in Nigeria in 1986, there has
been signifcant development in eforts to combat HIV/AIDS,
including scaling up of antiretroviral treatment (ARTs). Tis
increased the number of people accessing ARTs from 10,000
(2002) to 300,000 (2010) [3]. Nigerian Christian Hospital is
one such treatment facility that was activated in August 2008
in southeastern Nigeria.
However, few studies have been conducted to investigate
the determinants of mortality for people using ART services
in southeastern Nigeria. Onoka et al. studied HIV programs
in this region and reported loss-to-follow-up (LTFU) rate
between 11 and 32.8% [4]. Tey also showed that mortality
among patients in the programs reviewed ranged from 34.2%
to 56.7%. Males and patients CD4 cell count ≤200 had higher
rates of LTFU; this study did not explore the pattern of
mortality based on drug treatment. Ogoina et al. studied
the pattern of morbidity and mortality among hospitalized
patients on ARTs [5]. Tis study estimated a mortality rate
of 31.9%, mostly due to disseminated tuberculosis and sepsis.
Death was higher among males and people with lower CD4-
cell count. Tere was no statistical diference in mortality
based on participation in ART program. Some researchers
(Bedavid et al. and Valen et al.) have also suggested that
Truvada-based 1st line regimen had better survival profle
than Combivir-based 1st line drugs [6, 7]. But, there is
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
AIDS Research and Treatment
Volume 2014, Article ID 867827, 6 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/867827