AERMOD: A Dispersion Model for Industrial Source Applications.
Part II: Model Performance against 17 Field Study Databases
STEVEN G. PERRY,* ALAN J. CIMORELLI,
ROBERT J. PAINE,
#
ROGER W. BRODE,
@
JEFFREY C. WEIL,
&
AKULA VENKATRAM,** ROBERT B. WILSON,
RUSSELL F. LEE,
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AND WARREN D. PETERS
&&
*Air Resources Laboratory, NOAA, and National Exposure Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Region 3, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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ENSR International, Westford, Massachusetts
@
MACTEC Federal Programs, Inc., Durham, North Carolina
&
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado
**College of Engineering, University of California, Riverside, Riverside, California
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Region 10, Seattle, Washington
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Charlotte, North Carolina
&&
OAQPS, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
(Manuscript received 21 January 2004, in final form 26 October 2004)
ABSTRACT
The performance of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) and U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) Regulatory Model (AERMOD) Improvement Committee’s applied air dispersion model
against 17 field study databases is described. AERMOD is a steady-state plume model with significant
improvements over commonly applied regulatory models. The databases are characterized, and the per-
formance measures are described. Emphasis is placed on statistics that demonstrate the model’s abilities to
reproduce the upper end of the concentration distribution. This is most important for applied regulatory
modeling. The field measurements are characterized by flat and complex terrain, urban and rural condi-
tions, and elevated and surface releases with and without building wake effects. As is indicated by com-
parisons of modeled and observed concentration distributions, with few exceptions AERMOD’s perfor-
mance is superior to that of the other applied models tested. This is the second of two articles, with the first
describing the model formulations.
1. Introduction
In 1991, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) in conjunction with the American Meteoro-
logical Society (AMS) formed the AMS and EPA
Regulatory Model (AERMOD) Improvement Com-
mittee (AERMIC) with the expressed purpose of in-
corporating the current understanding of the planetary
boundary layer (PBL) into a state-of-the-art applied
dispersion model, AERMOD.
AERMIC’s work clearly has benefited from the
model development activities worldwide over the past
few decades, especially in the parameterization of mean
winds and PBL turbulence, dispersion in the CBL, the
treatment of plume/terrain interactions, plume–
building interactions, and urban dispersion.
AERMOD (Cimorelli et al. 2003) is a steady-state
plume model aimed at short-range (up to 50 km) dis-
persion from stationary industrial-type sources—the
same scenarios that are currently handled by the EPA’s
Industrial Source Complex Short-Term model
(ISCST3) (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
1995). The meteorological conditions are assumed to be
steady during the modeling period (typically 1 h) and
horizontally homogeneous. Vertical variations in the
PBL, however, are incorporated into the model’s pre-
dictions. For flow in complex terrain AERMOD incor-
porates the concept of a dividing streamline (Snyder et
al. 1985). The model considers the influence of building
wakes on plume rise and dispersion using the algo-
rithms of the Plume Rise Model Enhancements
(PRIME) model (Schulman et al. 2000). In urban areas,
AERMOD accounts for the dispersive nature of the
“convective like” boundary layer that forms during
nighttime conditions by enhancing the turbulence re-
sulting from urban heat flux (Oke 1978, 1982).
This paper is the second of two describing the newly
developed AERMOD modeling system. Cimorelli et al.
(2005, hereinafter Part I) describe the model formula-
Corresponding author address: Steven G. Perry, U.S. Environ-
mental Protection Agency, MD-81, Research Triangle Park, NC
27711.
E-mail: perry.steven@epa.gov
694 JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY VOLUME 44
© 2005 American Meteorological Society
JAM2228