Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jagaditha
Volume 5, Nomor 2, 2018, pp. 109-118
EISSN 2579-8162
ISSN 2355-4150
https://ejournal.warmadewa.ac.id/index.php/jagaditha
The Effect of Commodity Price on Indonesia Rupiah Exchange
Rate and Dow Jones Index on Indonesia Stock Exchange
Siti Hernita Oktavia*, Anis Rachma Utary and Felisitas Defung
Magister of Management Program, Economic and Business Faculty, Universitas Mulawarman,
Samarinda, Kalimantan Timur, Indonesia
*sitihernitaoktavia@ymail.com
Received: 12/06/2018 Revised: 10/07/2018 Published: 30/09/2018
How to cite (in APA style):
Oktavia, S, H., Utary, A, R., & Defung, F. (2018). The Effect of Commodity Price on Indonesia Rupiah Exchange Rate
and Dow Jones Index on Indonesia Stock Exchange. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jagaditha, 5(2), 109-118. http://
dx.doi.org/10.22225/jj.5.2.809.109-118
Abstract Capital market is one of today's economic instruments that has developed very rapidly.
One way to measure the performance of capital market is through stock index. There are many
affecting factors to the stock index, such as domestic interest rates, foreign exchange rates,
international economic conditions, the country's economic cycle, inflation rates, tax regulations,
the amount of money in circulation (M. Samsul, 2008). The purpose of this study is to analyze
the effect of Oil Prices, World Gold Prices, Exchange Rate of Indonesian Rupiah, and Dow
Jones on IHSG (Indonesia Stock Exchange). We used analytical method with multiple regression
analysis performed with SPSS 24 to conduct the study. In advance to applying multiple
regression analysis, we administered a classic assumption test. This is necessary to make the
regression equation is BLUE (Best, Linear, Unbiased, Estimator). Results of data analysis
showed that Gold Price and Indonesia Rupiah Exchange rate negatively affected the Indonesia
Stock Exchange; the Oil Prices and Dow Jones index also had a positive effect on Indonesia
Stock Exchange. The value of adjusted R square is 59.7%. This means that by 59.7% Indonesia
Stock Exchange movement can be predicted from the movement of the independent variables.
Keywords: Commodity Price; Dow Jones Index; Indonesia Stock Exchange; Indonesia
Rupiah.
INTRODUCTION
Capital markets have an important role in
the economy, especially in the allocation of
public funds. According to (Jogiyanto, 2010),
the capital market is a means companies use to
increase their long term needs by selling shares
or issuing bonds. Investment is the activity of
investing directly or indirectly in the hope that
in time the capital owners will get a number of
benefits from the investment (Samsul, 2008).
Investors, through the capital market can
choose the object of investment with different
levels of return and risk level faced, issuers
through the capital market can collect long-
term funds to support business continuity. One
of the investment activities that can be selected
by investors is to invest in the capital market.
In Indonesia, investors who are interested in
investing in the capital market can invest in the
Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The housing
market features distinctive search friction due
to heterogeneity in house characteristics and
consumer tastes (Gan, Wang, & Zhang, 2018).
One index that investors often pay
attention to when investing in the Indonesia
Stock Exchange is the Composite Stock Price
Index (CSPI). Through the movement of the
CSPI, an investor can see whether the market
conditions are conducively accurate. There
will be differences in market condition and the
differences would require different strategies
from investors in doing investment. Many
factors can influence the Stock Exchange,
including changes in central bank interest
rates, global economic conditions, the level of
world energy commodities prices, political
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