Prioritizing the Risk in Customs Supply Chain
Using AHP-Based Approach: Application to the
Moroccan Customs
Abstract—Customs is concerned with managing the risk in
various stages of the customs supply chain. effective
deployment of this key objective could not only fulfill the
safety requirements, but also provide a competitive
advantage in the commercial world. Risk assessment in
Customs context is a multi-criterion decision problem which
includes both qualitative and quantitative factors. The
purpose of this paper is to develop a risk prioritization
model enabling a structured analysis and an effective
assessment of the risk. An Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)
based methodology will be a useful tool not only to tackle
the different decision criteria for prioritizing risks, but also
to handle the multivariate qualitative nature of data
involved in the decision-making process. A case study is
presented to demonstrate the structure and organization of
the model. The paper concludes by identifying the critical
risks in Moroccan customs supply chain, and establishing
consensual data input for a risk management strategy.
Index Terms—risk, risk prioritization, Analytic Hierarchy
Process (AHP), customs supply chain, moroccan customs.
I. INTRODUCTION
Customs Supply Chain is widely classified as a
complex system, due to not only the large number of
actors (customs, businesses, companies categorized,
freight forwarders, individuals,...), but also their complex
structural links, and the interactions between these actors.
in fact, this system is subject to various types of Risks as
smuggling of drugs, weapons or commercial fraud. The
Manuscript received March 5, 2015; revised August 1, 2015.
economic, political and social impacts of those risks are
highly detrimental to the countries, businesses and to the
public. For this reason, risk management in the Customs
Supply Chain context is becoming a crucial issue to
ensure the sustainability, safety and performance. Risk
management based approach as systematic identification
and implementation of all measures necessary to limit
exposure to customs risk, determines which persons,
goods, and means of transport should be examined and to
what extent. Therefore, it is clear that just any safety
policy, implementation of risk management principles,
consists of an effective risk prioritization. Accordingly, it
is important to use an risk assessment approach and an
effective analyze of the risk faced in customs context,
thus enabling decision makers to understand the
capabilities and resources that need to be deployed so as
to successfully implement risk management in the
Customs Supply Chain. Making such judgment, however,
is never an easy task as there are many qualitative factors
concerned with the Risk assessment decision-making
process. In the literature, analytic hierarchy process AHP
is a widely employed methodology to handle the kind of
this process [1]. It used qualitative variables to establish
an integrated Risk assessment model so as to effectively
analyze, quantify and assess the associated risk in
different stages of the Moroccan customs supply chain. A
numerical analysis is included in this paper to prove the
effectiveness and demonstrate how of the proposed model
it works. Our proposed model is aimed to not only to
support the decision-making process while developing
safety strategy, but also to provide a framework helps to
Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 4, No. 1, June 2016
©2016 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering 47
doi: 10.18178/jtle.4.1.47-55
Lamia. Hammadi
National Institute of Applied Sciences INSA, Lofims, Rouen, France, National School of Applied Sciences, Oscars,
Cadi Ayyad University, Marrakech, Morocco
Email: hammadi.lamia@gmail.com, lamia.hammadi@insa-rouen.fr
José Eduardo. Souza De Cursi
National Institute of Applied Sciences Insa, Lofims, Rouen, France
Email: eduardo.souza@insa-rouen.fr
Abdellah. Ait Ouahman
National School of Applied Sciences, OSCARS, Cadi Ayyad University , Marrakech, Morocco.
Email: aitouahman@yahoo.fr
Aomar. Ibourk
Faculty of Juridical Sciences, Economic and Social, GRESS, Cadi Ayyad University , Marrakech, Morocco.
Email: aomaribourk@gmail.com