73 T. Sundstrøm et al. (eds.), Management of Severe Traumatic Brain Injury,
DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-28126-6_15, © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012
15
Recommendations
Level I
There are no data supporting an individual prog-
nosis at this level.
Level II
There are no data supporting an individual prog-
nosis at this level.
There is a prognostic value in age, GCS, GCS
motor score, pupillary reactivity, hypotension,
hypoxia, CT findings, blood glucose, serum
sodium, and ethnic origin.
Level III
There are some data supporting an individual
prognosis, prognosis calculators, at this level.
There seems to be a prognostic value in ICP
and CPP.
There is insufficient evidence for the prognos-
tic value of biomarkers and pressure reactivity.
15.1 Overview
Prognosis, from Greek prόgnwsh – literally
fore-knowing, foreseeing.
The prognosis of a disease can be used for
discussing the seriousness or likely outcome of a
disease. It can as such be used as an aid in the
information process to the patient or her/his rela-
tives. It also gives information to the treating
physician about what she/he could expect.
The accuracy of prognosis on group or popu-
lation level can be very precise but not at the level
of the individual patient.
There are several factors that prognosticate
for poor prognosis in severe traumatic brain
injury, such as age, GCS, pupillary dilation with
loss of light reflex, hypoxia, hypotension, mass
lesions on CT, presence of subarachnoidal blood
on CT, and others. These factors have been used
in prognostic models of which two, IMPACT
prognosis calculator and CRASH prognosis cal-
culator, are available on the World Wide Web.
They can be used for individual prognosis. None
of these prognostic factors, alone, together, or as
prognosis calculators, are strong enough to prog-
nosticate outcome or even mortality at the indi-
vidual level. They should therefore be used with
caution. There is no prognostic factor or associa-
tion of prognosis factors that with certainty can
tell the treating physician not to initiate treat-
ment. Development of such a criterion, as objec-
tive as possible, e.g. an initial CPP value, to
make the decision to treat or not to treat possible,
would be of great advantage.
M. Olivecrona
Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital,
Umeå 901 85, Sweden
e-mail: magnus.olivecrona@neuro.umu.se
Prognosis of Severe Traumatic Brain
Injury: To Treat or Not to Treat, That
Is the Question
Magnus Olivecrona