Resuscitation 105 (2016) 173–176
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Resuscitation
jou rn al hom ep age : w ww.elsevier.com/locate/resuscitation
Clinical paper
Burial duration, depth and air pocket explain avalanche survival
patterns in Austria and Switzerland
Emily Procter
a,b
, Giacomo Strapazzon
a,*
, Tomas Dal Cappello
a
, Benjamin Zweifel
c
,
Andreas Würtele
d
, Andreas Renner
a
, Markus Falk
a,e
, Hermann Brugger
a
a
EURAC Institute of Mountain Emergency Medicine, Viale Druso 1, 39100 Bolzano, Italy
b
Department of Sport Science, University of Innsbruck, Fürstenweg 185, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
c
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Flüelastrasse 11, 7260 Davos, Switzerland
d
Austrian Board of Alpine Safety, Olympiastrasse 10, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
e
Inova Q Inc. , Tinkhauserstrasse 5b, 39031 Brunico, Italy
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 16 February 2016
Received in revised form 7 May 2016
Accepted 4 June 2016
Keywords:
Survival probability
Survival curve
Avalanche
Burial depth
Asphyxia
a b s t r a c t
Aim: To calculate the first Austrian avalanche survival curve and update a Swiss survival curve to explore
survival patterns in the Alps.
Methods: Avalanche accidents occurring between 2005/06 and 2012/13 in Austria and Switzerland were
collected. Completely buried victims (i.e. burial of the head and chest) in open terrain with known out-
come (survived or not survived) were included in the analysis. Extrication and survival curves were
calculated using the Turnbull algorithm, as in previous studies.
Results: 633 of the 796 completely buried victims were included (Austria n = 333, Switzerland n = 300).
Overall survival was 56% (Austria 59%; Switzerland 52%; p = 0.065). Time to extrication was shorter in
Austria for victims buried ≤60 min (p < 0.001). The survival curves were similar and showed a rapid initial
drop in survival probability and a second drop to 25–28% survival probability after burial duration of ca.
35 min, where an inflection point exists and the curve levels off. In a logistic regression analysis, both
duration of burial and burial depth had an independent effect on survival. Victims with an air pocket
were more likely to survive, especially if buried >15 min.
Conclusion: The survival curves resembled those previously published and support the idea that underly-
ing survival patterns are reproducible. The results are in accordance with current recommendations for
management of avalanche victims and serve as a reminder that expedient companion rescue within a
few minutes is critical for survival. An air pocket was shown to be a positive prognostic factor for survival.
© 2016 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
Introduction
An avalanche survival curve is a graphical representation of the
cumulative survival probability during complete avalanche burial
as a function of time.
1
The step-wise decrease of survival prob-
ability with increasing duration of burial was first recognized in
the original curve in 1994 using avalanche data from Switzerland.
1
Four distinct phases could be distinguished in the curve, which
reflected patterns of death in victims extricated within that time
period: trauma is the major cause of death in the first (“sur-
vival”) phase, asphyxia in the second (“asphyxia”) phase and a
A Spanish translated version of the summary of this article appears as Appendix
in the final online version at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2016.06.001.
*
Corresponding author at: Institute of Mountain Emergency Medicine, EURAC
Research, Viale Druso 1, I-39100 Bozen/Bolzano, Italy.
E-mail address: giacomo.strapazzon@eurac.edu (G. Strapazzon).
combination of severe hypothermia, hypoxia and hypercapnia in
the third (“latent”) and fourth (“long-term survival”) phases. Cha-
racterising avalanche survival in this manner had a lasting practical
impact on avalanche rescue. For example, these curves offered a
way to quantify the importance of rapid extrication by compan-
ion rescuers, i.e. a victim must be extricated within ca. 15 min
for a survival chance of >90%. Secondly, a threshold was iden-
tified at the end of the asphyxia phase (ca. 35 min) after which
survival without a patent airway is unlikely. These aspects were
later integrated into international guidelines on the management
of avalanche victims
2,3
and resuscitation guidelines.
4
To understand whether these survival patterns pertained to
other regions, the first comparative study of survival curves was
published in 2011 using data from Switzerland and Canada.
5
For
the first time it was shown that these four phases in the survival
curve seem to be universal, but that their duration and contribu-
tion to survival are modified by local factors. In this comparison,
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2016.06.001
0300-9572/© 2016 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.