Research paper
Who sells what? Country specific differences in substance availability
on the Agora cryptomarket
Joe Van Buskirk
a,
*, Sundresan Naicker
a
, Amanda Roxburgh
a
, Raimondo Bruno
b
,
Lucinda Burns
a
a
National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre (NDARC), University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales 2052, Australia
b
University of Tasmania, School of Medicine, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, Australia
A R T I C L E I N F O
Article history:
Received 14 September 2015
Received in revised form 19 May 2016
Accepted 11 July 2016
Keywords:
Cryptomarkets
New technologies
New psychoactive substances
A B S T R A C T
Background: To date monitoring of cryptomarkets operating on the dark net has largely focused on market
size and substance availability. Less is known of country specific differences in these indicators and how
they may corroborate population prevalence estimates for substance use in different countries.
Methods: All substance listings from the cryptomarket Agora were recorded over seven time points
throughout February and March 2015. Agora was chosen due to its size as the second largest cryptomarket
operating and the level of detail of information provided in individual substance listings. Data were
collated and the number of unique sellers selling each substance by country of origin was analysed.
Results: An average of 14,456.7 substance listings were identified across sampled days from 868.7 unique
sellers. The top five countries by number of listings were the USA, United Kingdom, Australia, China and the
Netherlands, collectively accounting for 61.8% of all identified listings and 68% of all unique sellers.
Australia was over represented in terms of sellers per capita, while China was over represented in new
psychoactive substance (NPS) listings. When examined by number of listings per seller, the Netherlands
and China stood out as particularly large, likely due to these countries’ role in the local production of various
illicit and new psychoactive substances.
Conclusions: Numbers of sellers by country of origin appear to be influenced by several factors. Australia’s
overrepresentation in sellers per capita may indicate its relative geographical isolation and the potential
for profit margins from selling online, while China’s overrepresentation in NPS listings may reflect
domestic production of these substances. Continued monitoring will provide enhanced understanding of
the increasingly complex and globalised nature of illicit drug markets.
ã 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Introduction
It has been estimated the global disease burden for illicit drugs
attributable to mental, neurological and substance use disorders
has increased by 37.6% between 1990 and 2010, with substance use
disorders accounting for around 2% of all global disease burden
(Whiteford, Ferrari, Degenhardt, Feigin, & Vos, 2013; Whiteford
et al., 2015). This presents unique and complex challenges to health
systems due to psychosocial and socioeconomic costs of addiction,
adverse events and related criminal activity that may be associated
with the acquisition and consumption of illicit substances
(Chandler, Fletcher, & Volkow, 2009). The rise of the use of the
internet over the past two decades has led to the development of
new methods of distribution of substances (Walsh, 2011). Initially
this appeared driven by the sale of illicit pharmaceuticals, and
later, the introduction of new classes of substances, deemed ‘new
psychoactive substances’ (NPS), not subject to international
legislative control (Boyer, Shannon, & Hibberd, 2005). The more
recent advent of the ‘dark net’, using Tor (‘The Onion Router’),
which reroutes user connections through anonymising servers, to
access websites has made it possible to sell and source substances
online with greater anonymity and hence reduced risk of detection
and prosecution. Since the dark net and its use for illicit drug
trading reached public awareness in 2011 (Chen, 2011), it has
become a well-established mode for both purchasing and selling
illicit substances at an international level. Specifically, the
development of increasingly secure and anonymous ‘cryptomar-
kets’, that operate on the dark net in a similar fashion to clear net
marketplaces such as Ebay (Barratt, 2012). The number and
capacity of dark net ‘cryptomarkets’ has increased since 2011, with
current research reporting over 5000 unique sellers operating
* Corresponding author at: National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre,
University of New South Wales, 22-32 King St, Randwick 2031, Australia.
Fax: +61 2 9385 0222.
E-mail address: j.vanbuskirk@unsw.edu.au (J. Van Buskirk).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.drugpo.2016.07.004
0955-3959/ã 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
International Journal of Drug Policy 35 (2016) 16–23
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
International Journal of Drug Policy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locat e/drugpo
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