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International Journal of Scientific Research in Computer Science, Engineering and Information Technology
ISSN : 2456-3307 (www.ijsrcseit.com)
doi : https://doi.org/10.32628/CSEIT206544
216
Feature extraction and prediction of Dengue Outbreaks
Kunal Parikh
1
, Tanvi Makadia
2
, Harshil Patel
3
Information Technology Department, A. D. Patel Institute of Technology, Karamsad, Gujarat, India
Article Info
Volume 6, Issue 5
Page Number: 216-222
Publication Issue :
September-October-2020
Article History
Accepted : 01 Oct 2020
Published : 14 Oct 2020
ABSTRACT
Dengue is unquestionably one of the biggest health concerns in India and for many
other developing countries. Unfortunately, many people have lost their lives
because of it. Every year, approximately 390 million dengue infections occur
around the world among which 500,000 people are seriously infected and 25,000
people have died annually. Many factors could cause dengue such as temperature,
humidity, precipitation, inadequate public health, and many others. In this paper,
we are proposing a method to perform predictive analytics on dengue’s dataset
using KNN: a machine-learning algorithm. This analysis would help in the
prediction of future cases and we could save the lives of many.
Keywords: Machine Learning, K-Nearest Neighbors, Prediction, Dengue,
Meteorological data
I. INTRODUCTION
Dengue is a viral fever transmitted by female
mosquitoes. We currently have no vaccine or specific
course of treatment for dengue. Dengue outbreaks
have been rapidly increasing, the number of dengue
cases reported to WHO increased over 8 fold over the
last two decades, from 505,430 cases in 2000 to over
2.4 million in 2010, and 4.2 million in 2019. To
decrease the impact of such outbreaks and be
equipped to deal with it effectively we can use
modern technology. Researches indicate a strong
relation between dengue outbreaks and
meteorological data. Through this paper, we want to
throw insight into how we can use Machine learning
(KNN model) to predict the potential dengue
outbreak so that it can be contained at the
rudimentary stage.
The dengue virus (DEN) belongs to the family
Flaviviridae and genus Flavivirus. It consists of four
distinct serotypes (DEN-1, DEN-2, DEN-3 and DEN-
4) which are closely related to each other. The Aedes
aegypti mosquito is the primary vector that sends the
infections that cause dengue. The infections are
transmitted to people through the bite of an infective
female Aedes mosquito, which predominantly passes
the infection while feeding on the blood of an
infected individual.
Earlier, dengue was limited to few southern states of
India, however, from 2001 the total number of
dengue cases has significantly increased and has been
widely spread across India. Initially, dengue was
spread in urban areas only, but now it has
proliferated to rural areas as well. The expansion of
dengue is mainly because of environmental changes,
immunological factors of community, rapid
unplanned urbanization