Citation: Drobnjakovi´ c, M.; Pani´ c, M.;
Stanojevi´ c, G.; Doljak, D.; Kokotovi´ c
Kanazir, V. Detection of the
Seasonally Activated Rural Areas.
Sustainability 2022, 14, 1604. https://
doi.org/10.3390/su14031604
Academic Editors: Piotr Prus, Marko
D. Petrovi´ c and Julia
A. Syromiatnikova
Received: 30 November 2021
Accepted: 6 January 2022
Published: 29 January 2022
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sustainability
Article
Detection of the Seasonally Activated Rural Areas
Marija Drobnjakovi´ c* , Milena Pani´ c , Gorica Stanojevi´ c , Dejan Doljak and Vlasta Kokotovi´ c Kanazir
Geographical Institute “Jovan Cviji´ c” Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Djure Jakši´ ca 9,
11000 Belgrade, Serbia; m.panic@gi.sanu.ac.rs (M.P.); g.stanojevic@gi.sanu.ac.rs (G.S.);
d.doljak@gi.sanu.ac.rs (D.D.); v.kokotovic@gi.sanu.ac.rs (V.K.K.)
* Correspondence: m.drobnjakovic@gi.sanu.ac.rs
Abstract: Rural areas have been usually observed through agriculture; however, today, it is broadened
with various activities. In Serbia, it has been characterized by unbalanced development, which has
led to a declining vitality and depopulation. The main goal of this research is detection of seasonally
activated rural areas in Serbia, expressed through the population fluctuation, temporary settlement, or
occasional use of residential and economic facilities, and identification of spatial patterns of seasonal
use. This research applied an innovative proxy—nighttime lights (NTL)—as a complementary tool
to statistical analyses, which are conducted in the GIS environment. The calculation encompassed
two seasonality coefficients: one based on the NTL and the second based on statistical data on
tourist turnover. The spatial frame applies settlement level and micro level (pixels), while temporal
includes monthly values for the period 2015–2019. The obtained results highlight tourist activity as
the main cause of seasonal activation of rural areas. The largest seasonal fluctuations were registered
in mountain areas and spa resorts. For mountain areas, the highest seasonality is in the winter
months (peak—January/February), and lowest is in the summer season. The seasonal character of
spa centers indicates the similar trend, generally less pronounced (peak—January), however, with
higher seasonality during the summer.
Keywords: rural areas; seasonality coefficient; nighttime lights (NTL); tourism; Serbia
1. Introduction
Globalization is changing and permeating spaces. It produces a territorial transfor-
mation and the new trends within economic activities [1]. It is a complex connection and
interdependence of localities that reflects the compression of time and space, which in the
context of rural areas turn them into a field of permanent change shaped by economic
cycles, trade fluctuations, technological innovation, migrations, politics, and environ-
ment quality [2]. Rural space becomes an arena of actors that cause interdependent and
multidimensional structural transformations of various elements—landscape, population,
economy, and habits, introducing it to the process of restructuring [3,4].
Rural areas, for a long time, have been understood and observed through agriculture,
which emerged as a dominant shaping factor. However, in the postmodern context, agri-
culture is gradually being replaced or broadened with different rural activities. It could
not be considered as the only factor of rural development, nor could concrete rural devel-
opment be achieved only through the “expropriation from agriculture” [5]. Alternatives
to agriculture employment can be seen in the activities related to agricultural production
(food industry, forest fruits and herbs collection, healthy food production, etc.), developing
a range of service industries (tourism, recreation, crafts, trade, culture, art, etc.), and in
regard to this, the development of the so-called home business [6]. With the introduction
of new contents and services, rural areas are being reshaped, becoming more similar to
urban ones. Therefore, the boundary between rural and urban areas is becoming less clear,
with a tendency to be completely blurred [7]. A space of continuous transformations is
created, which represent transitional forms between these two extreme constructs (suburbs,
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