Vivek Jaglan el at. International Journal of Recent Research Aspects ISSN: 2349-7688, Vol. 3, Issue 4,
December 2016, pp. 71-76
© 2017 IJRRA All Rights Reserved page-71-
Review of modeling technologies used for
Predicting Crime
Vivek Jaglan
CSE Deptt, Amity University, Gurugram, Haryana
Abstract—Crime against women these days has become problem of every nation around the globe many countries are trying
to curb this problem. Preventive are taken to reduce the increasing number of cases of crime against women. A huge amount
of data set is generated every year on the basis of reporting of crime. This data can prove very useful in analysing and
predicting crime and help us prevent the crime to some extent. Crime analysis is an area of vital importance in police
department. Study of crime data can help us analyses crime pattern, inter-related clues& important hidden relations
between the crimes. That is why data mining can be great aid to analyses, visualize and predict crime using crime data set.
Classification and correlation of data set makes it easy to understand similarities & dissimilarities amongst the data objects.
We group data objects using clustering technique. Dataset is classified on the basis of some predefined condition. Here
grouping is done according to various types of crimes against women taking place in different states and cities of India.
Crime mapping will help the administration to plan strategies for prevention of crime, further using data mining technique
data can be predicted and visualized in various form in order to provide better understanding of crime patterns.
Keywords—Modeling Technologies Used For Predicting Crime Against Women
I. INTRODUCTION
The concern about national security has increased significantly
since the terrorist attacks on November 26, 2008 at Mumbai.
Intelligence agencies such as the CBI and NCRB (National
Crime Record Bureau) are actively collecting and analyzing
information to investigate terrorists’ activities [12]. Local law
enforcement agencies like SCRB(State Crime Record Bureau)
and DCRB(District Crime Record Bureau)/CCRB (City Crime
Record Bureau) have also become more alert to criminal
activities in their own jurisdictions. One challenge to law
enforcement and intelligence agencies is the difficulty of
analyzing large volumes of data involved in criminal and
terrorist activities. Data mining holds the promise of making it
easy, convenient, and practical to explore very large databases
for organizations and users. In this paper, we review data
mining techniques applied in the context of law enforcement
and intelligence analysis.
The notion of crime forecasting dates back to 1931, when
sociologist Clifford R. Shaw of the University of Chicago and
criminologist Henry D. McKay of Chicago's Institute for
Juvenile Research wrote a book exploring the persistence of
juvenile crime in specific neighborhoods. Scientists have
experimented with using statistical and geospatial analyses to
determine crime risk levels ever since. In the 1990s, the
National Institute of Justice (NIJ) and others embraced
geographic information system tools for mapping crime data,
and researchers began using everything from basic regression
analysis to cutting-edge mathematical models to forecast when
and where the next outbreak might occur. But until recently, the
limits of computing power and storage prevented them from
using large data sets.
In 2006, researchers at the University of California, Los
Angeles (UCLA), and UC Irvine teamed up with the Los
Angeles Police Department (LAPD). By then, police
departments were catching up in data collection, making crime
forecasting "a real possibility rather than just a theoretical
novelty," says UCLA anthropologist Jeffrey Brantingham.
LAPD was using hot spot maps of past crimes to determine
where to send patrols—a strategy the department called "cops
on the dot." Brantingham's team believed they could make the
maps predictive rather than merely descriptive.
Figure 1: Process
Making “predictions” is only half of prediction-led policing; the
other half is carrying out interventions, acting on the predictions
that lead to reduced crime (or at least solve crimes). What we
have found in this study is that predictive policing is best
thought of as part of a comprehensive business process. That
process is summarized in Figure S.1. We also identified some
emerging practices for running this business process
successfully through a series of discussions with leading
predictive policing practitioners. At the core of the process
shown in Figure S.1 is a four-step cycle (top of figure). The first
two steps are collecting and analyzing crime, incident, and
offender data to produce predictions. Data from disparate