Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Vol. 2(7), pp. 290-295, July 2013
Available online at http://academeresearchjournals.org/journal/jaed
ISSN 2327-3151 ©2013 Academe Research Journals
Full Length Research Paper
The assessment of economic indicators using GM
cotton worldwide over time
Julian Witjaksono
1,2
, Xiaowen Wei
1
, Shuchun Mao
1
, Wankui Gong
1
, Haihong Shang
1
,
Yabing Li
1
and Youlu Yuan
1*
1
Institute of Cotton Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Cotton Biology,
Anyang. P.R. China.
2
The Assessment Institute for Agricultural Technology, Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia.
Accepted 30 June, 2013
This paper reviews the evidence on the economic benefits using GM cotton with different patterns
across space and time. To this end, we investigated the effects of GM cotton using global data from
more than one decade of field trials and surveys. More specifically, the effects of GM cotton on crop
yields, seed costs, pesticide costs, management and labor costs and finally net return were analyzed.
Based on the literature searched, regression analysis was conducted to investigate and estimate the
relationship between response variables and explanatory variables on these parameters. The results
using regression analysis approach indicate that yield gain is the high expectation of cotton growers to
optimize net returns. Put in another way, yield gain is the main factor influencing net return. As such,
this study concludes that GM cotton is the technology which can lead to yield increases and capture
higher net return. More so, lessons from this study may contribute to the assessment of this
technology especially for poor-resource farmers in the developing countries.
Key words: Regression analysis, net return, yield, benefits.
INTRODUCTION
The development of GM cotton cultivars provides cotton
produce more options for managing pests, but their value
to producer depends not only on the cost savings that
they may contribute to the pest management system
employed, but also on the gross revenues from the sale
of the crop produced. Economic benefit is the most
important factor that can affect GM cotton technologies
among the farmers worldwide, not only in developed
countries but also in developing countries. GM cotton not
only provide an effective tool for controlling target insects
(Wu et al., 2008), but also provide many social,
environmental and economic benefits, such as reducing
the use of chemical insecticides, benefiting the
environment and human health, and increasing farm
income (Wang, 2007; Brookes and Barfoot, 2008;
Choudhary and Gaur, 2011; Huang et al., 2010;
Tabashnik, 2010).
There is a general belief that the GM technology will be
a major factor in boosting productivity of agriculture,
especially in developing countries. Several studies on
GM cotton in developing countries claimed that its use
brings benefits to smallholders because it decreased the
number of pesticide sprayings and increased yields
(Zhao et al., 2011). According to Kaphengst et al. (2010),
there is substantial evidence that the adoption of Bt
cotton provides economic benefits for farmers in a
number of countries. For example, it is notable that in
2010, the biotech cotton area in India, which is the largest
cotton growing country in the world, occupied 9.4 million
hectares of approved GM cotton increasing by an
impressive 12% gain between 2009 and 2010, despite
almost optimal levels of adoption which reached 86% in
2010. The benefits of GM cotton hybrid in India are
significant and the substantial increase in 2010 was due
to the significant merits in production, economic,
environmental, health, and social benefits (James, 2010).
Over a decade after GM crops such transgenic cottons
were first commercialized among smallholders in the
developing world, there now exist a considerable body of
evidence to show that their impacts have been mixed,
*Corresponding author. E-mail: youluyuan@hotmail.com.