Pergamon
ElectoralStudies, Vol. 15. No. 2, pp. 149-166, 1996
Copyright © 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd
Printed in Great Britain. All rights reserved
0261-3794/96 $15.00+0.00
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What Voters Teach Us About Europe-Wide
Elections: What Europe-Wide Elections
Teach Us About Voters*
CEES VAN DER EIJK
Department of Political Science, University of Amsterdam,
1012 -DL Amsterdam, The Netherlands
MARK FRANKLIN
Department of Political Science, University of Houston, Houston,
TX 77204-3474, USA
MICHAEL MARSH
Department of Political Science, Trinity College, Dublin,
Republic of Ireland
With four sets of European parliamentary elections now behind us, it is appro-
priate to review the prevailing interpretation of such elections as second-order
national elections, a view first put forward by Reif and Schmitt in 1980. While
the second-order model has yielded important insights into the way European
elections can be understood as manifesting national political processes, more
recent research has fruitfully turned the model on its head, and focused on
what European elections can tell us about national elections and the nature
of the voting act. Indeed, the use of individual-level survey data to study
elections to the European Parliament has for the first time truly shown us the
importance of institutional and political context in conditioning turnout and
party choice. Findings of recent research suggest that the second-order
features of European elections should be thought of as contextual variables
that can affect other elections as well. Copyright © 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd.
The fact that elections to the European Parliament (EP) are different from elections
to national parliaments in European Union (EU) member countries has been evident
from the time of the very first of these Europe-wide elections, held in Jtme 1979.
Turnout in such elections is low, major parties generally do badly (compared to
their performance in adjacent national elections) and small parties often do better
than in national elections. Writing in the immediate aftermath of the 1979 European
elections, Reif and Schmitt (1980) proposed a way of thinking about these elections
that would account for their characteristics. This was to regard them not primarily
*The authors would like to thank Hermann Schmitt and, especially, Christopher Wlezien for
helpful comments.