arXiv:1104.0174v1 [q-bio.OT] 1 Apr 2011 Anthropogenic Renourishment Feedback on 1 Shorebirds: a Multispecies Bayesian 2 Perspective 3 M. Convertino § * , J.F. Donoghue ♯ , M.L. Chu-Agor § , G. A. Kiker § , 4 R. Mu˜ noz-Carpena § , R.A. Fischer ‡ , I. Linkov *† 5 § Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering-IFAS, University of 6 Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA 7 * USACE Engineer Research and Development Center (ERDC), Risk and 8 Decision Science Area, Concord, MA, USA 9 ♯ Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science, Florida State 10 University, Tallahasse, FL, USA 11 ‡ USACE Engineer Research and Development Center (ERDC), 12 Environmental Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, USA 13 † EPP Dept. Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA 14 April 4, 2011 15 Corresponding author: M. Convertino, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering- 16 IFAS, Frazier Rogers Hall, Museum Road, PO box 110570, 32611-0570, (email: mcon- 17 vertino@ufl.edu; phone: +1 352-392-1864 ext. 218; fax: +1 352-392-4092). 18 19 Keywords: habitat selection, beach renourishment, multi-species analysis, Snowy Plover, 20 Piping Plover, Red Knot, Bayesian inference 21