Agricultural Water Management 63 (2003) 169–183
Neural networks for predicting nitrate-nitrogen in
drainage water
V. Sharma, S.C. Negi
∗
, R.P. Rudra, S. Yang
School of Engineering, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont., Canada N1G 2W1
Accepted 25 March 2003
Abstract
Two artificial neural network (ANN) models, a trainable fast back-propagation (FBP) network and
a self-organizing radial basis function (RBF) network, were developed for simulation of subsurface
drain outflow and nitrate-nitrogen concentration in tile effluent. Experimental data collected at the
Greenbelt Research Farm of Agriculture Canada over a 40-month period were used to train and
validate the two models. The available field data were divided into training and testing scenarios, with
the training file consisting of eight inputs and two outputs. A sensitivity analysis was performed by
varying the network parameters to minimize the prediction error and determine the optimum network
configuration. The best architecture for the FBP model comprised of 20 neurons in the hidden layer
and a learning rate of 0.02, while the RBF network with a tolerance of 20 and a receptive field of 15
yielded 547 neurons in the hidden layer. Overall, the performance of the RBF neural network was
superior to the FBP model in predicting the concentration of nitrate-nitrogen in drain outflow due to
the application of manure and/or fertilizer. This information, in turn, can be used for proper fertilizer
management; thereby, reducing not only the loss of valuable nitrogen fertilizer but also the potential
for pollution of subsurface water by nitrate.
© 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Subsurface drainage; Nitrate leaching; Fertilizer; Manure; Artificial neural network
1. Introduction
As nitrate is considered the main indicator of groundwater contamination from feed-
lot manure, or any agricultural operation, it is imperative to monitor the nitrate-nitrogen
(NO
3
-
-N) concentrations in shallow groundwater and subsurface tile effluent. Nitrate losses
from fields receiving manure and fertilizer are generally much greater in subsurface drainage
∗
Corresponding author. Tel.: +1-519-824-4120x2231; fax: +1-519-836-0227.
E-mail address: scnegi@uoguelph.ca (S.C. Negi).
0378-3774/$ – see front matter © 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/S0378-3774(03)00159-8