European Review of Agricultural Economics Vol 00 (00) (2021) pp. 1–24
doi:10.1093/erae/jbab020
Distributional and economy-wide
effects of post-confict agricultural policy
in Colombia
Dora Elena Jiménez
†
, Adri ´ an Saldarriaga-Isaza
†,
*
and
Martín Cicowiez
‡
†
Department of Economics, Universidad Nacional de Colombia—Sede
Medellín, Colombia;
‡
Universidad Nacional de La Plata, Argentina
Received October 2020; fnal version accepted April 2021
Abstract
We assessed the economic effects of the agricultural policy that is proposed as part of
the 2016 peace accord in Colombia. We used a newly built social accounting matrix for
Colombia to calibrate a computable general equilibrium model. We found that the value
added, demand for labour and factor incomes increased in the areas most affected by the
confict, while the opposite occurred in the other areas. In general, distributional effects
between urban and rural areas are strongly conditional on the fnancing mechanism
adopted by the government.
Keywords: post-confict, agricultural policy, CGE modelling, distributional effects
JEL classifcation: Q18, C68, D58, R12
1. Introduction
During armed conficts, many civilians are displaced and agricultural liveli-
hoods are disrupted, affecting agricultural activity in confict-affected regions
(Thibbotuwawa, 2019). By the same token, agricultural activity plays a
key role to support food security and peacebuilding in post-confict settings
(Özerdem and Roberts, 2012; Adam-Bradford et al., 2020). Particularly,
smallholder farmers may contribute towards poverty reduction in post-confict
zones and sustain rural livelihoods, through policies that include productiv-
ity intensifcation, post-harvest infrastructure and marketing (Muscat, 2005;
Siddik et al., 2015) as well as land restitution mechanisms (Arraiza and
Moratti, 2009; Grajales, 2020). Nevertheless, other foreign and national poli-
cies such as new norms, standards and trade barriers may hinder agriculture-
based rural development (Giordano, 2011).
In general, agricultural policies for post-confict environments prioritise
improvements in productivity and competitiveness, with the expectation of
positively impacting rural farm incomes and food security (Thibbotuwawa,
*Corresponding author: E-mail: casaldarriagai@unal.edu.co
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