Research Article
Comparative Analysis of Travel Patterns from Cellular Network
DataandanUrbanTravelDemandModel
Nils Breyer ,ClasRydergren ,andDavidGundleg˚ ard
Department of Science and Technology, Link¨ oping University, Link¨ oping, Sweden
CorrespondenceshouldbeaddressedtoNilsBreyer;nils.breyer@liu.se
Received 6 June 2019; Accepted 16 January 2020; Published 13 February 2020
AcademicEditor:RakeshMishra
Copyright©2020NilsBreyeretal.isisanopenaccessarticledistributedundertheCreativeCommonsAttributionLicense,
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Dataontravelpatternsandtraveldemandareanimportantinputtotoday’strafficmodelsusedfortrafficplanning.Traditionally,
traveldemandismodelledusingcensusdata,travelsurveys,andtrafficcounts.Problemsarisefromthefactthatthesamplesizes
areratherlimitedandthattheyareexpensivetocollectandupdatethedata.Cellularnetworkdataareapromisinglarge-scaledata
sourcetoobtainabetterunderstandingofhumanmobility.Toinfertraveldemand,weproposeamethodthatstartsbyextracting
tripsfromcellularnetworkdata.Tofindoutwhichtypesoftripscanbeextracted,weuseasmall-scalecellularnetworkdataset
collectedfrom20mobilephonestogetherwithGPStrackscollectedonthesamedevice.Usingalarge-scaledatasetofcellular
networkdatafromaSwedishoperatorforthemunicipalityofNorrk¨ oping,wecomparethetraveldemandinferredfromcellular
networkdatatothemunicipality’sexistingurbantraveldemandmodelaswellaspublictransittap-ins.eresultsforthesmall-
scaledatasetshowthat,withtheproposedtripextractionmethods,therecall(tripdetectionrate)isabout50%forshorttripsof1-
2km,whileitis75–80%fortripsofmorethan5km.Similarly,therecallalsodiffersbyatravelmodewithmorethan80%for
publictransit,74%forcar,butonly53%forbicycleandwalking.Afteraggregatingtripsintoanorigin-destinationmatrix,the
correlationisweak(R
2
< 0.2)usingtheoriginalzoningusedinthetraveldemandmodelwith189zones,whileitissignificantwith
R
2
� 0.82whenaggregatingto24zones.Wefindthatthechoiceofthetripextractionmethodiscrucialforthetraveldemand
estimation as we find systematic differences in the resulting travel demand matrices using two different methods.
1.Introduction
Inordertomeetanincreasingtraveldemandandtheneedto
reduce environmental impacts, today’s traffic system needs
tobecomemoreefficient.Tomakewell-informeddecisions
whenimprovingthetrafficsystem,adetailedunderstanding
of human mobility is needed. is calls for comprehensive
informationontravelpatternsandtheactualtraveldemand,
which today is difficult to obtain [1, 2].
Cellular network data are seen as a promising data
source which can be used to augment both traffic man-
agement[3]andtrafficplanning[4,5].Asalarge-scaledata
source, it can give new insights on mobility with all travel
modes.Itisalsoeasiertokeepuptodatethantravelsurveys.
Several studies have investigated the possibilities to infer
traveldemandfromcellularnetworkdata.Estimatingtravel
demand from cellular network data involves a number of
processing steps. Few studies have used real-world cellular
network data and compared all outputs generated in these
processingstepstootherexistingdata.erefore,thereisno
comprehensive understanding of the quality and potential
problems that can arise in the data processing steps.
ispaperaimstoanalysethepotentialandlimitations
oftraveldemandinferencefromlarge-scalecellularnetwork
data. We propose a process to obtain travel patterns from
cellular network data, consisting of two alternative algo-
rithms to extract trips and a method to infer time-sliced
travel demand. In order to evaluate the trip extraction
performance in terms of recall and precision, we compare
tripsextractedfromcellularnetworkdatatotripsobtained
fromGPStrackscollectedonthesamemobiledevice.Using
this method, we can analyse which types of trips can be
detectedfromcellularnetworkdatabyapplyingthetwotrip
extractionmethods.Weinferthetime-slicedtraveldemand
Hindawi
Journal of Advanced Transportation
Volume 2020, Article ID 3267474, 17 pages
https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/3267474