A. Laurent et al. (Eds.): IPMU 2014, Part II, CCIS 443, pp. 536–545, 2014.
© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014
Probabilistic Solution of Zadeh’s Test Problems
Boris Kovalerchuk
Dept. of Computer Science, Central Washington University,
400 E. University Way, Ellensburg, WA 98926, USA
borisk@cwu.edu
Abstract. Zadeh posed several Computing with Words (CWW) test problems
such as: “What is the probability that John is short?” These problems assume a
given piece of information in the form of membership functions for linguistic
terms including tall, short, young, middle-aged, and the probability density
functions of age and height. This paper proposes a solution that interprets
Zadeh’s solution for these problems as a solution in terms of probability spaces
as defined in the probability theory. This paper also discusses methodological
issues of relations between concepts of probability and fuzzy sets.
1 Introduction
Zadeh’s test problems include: “What is the probability that Mary is middle-aged?”,
“What is the probability that Mary is young?”, “What is the probability that John is
short?”, and “What is the probability that John is tall?” [Zadeh, 2012, Belyakov et al,
2012].
These problems assume given information I in the form of membership
functions μ
tall
, μ
short
, μ
young
, μ
middle-aged
, and the probability density functions of age P
A
and height P
H
Below we propose a solution that interprets Zadeh’s solution [2011] for these
problems as a solution in terms of probability spaces as defined in the probability
theory.
First, we focus on one of the problems: “What is the probability that John is tall?”
The given information I for this problem is: a specified membership function μ
tall
and
the probability density function of Height(John), p
H
. Zadeh’s solutions for other
listed problems are similar.
In this notation, Zadeh defines the probability that John is tall as:
du u p u
H tall
R
) ( ) ( μ (1)
where R is the real line, u belongs to R and u is the height value. Formula (1) is
called the probability measure of the fuzzy set tall [Zadeh, 1968] and is considered as
a translation of the given linguistic information I into a mathematical language with
precisiation of meaning as Zadeh calls it. Similarly a formula for the probability that
Mary is middle-aged is