PRIMARY RESEARCH ARTICLE
Long‐term changes in the impacts of global warming on leaf
phenology of four temperate tree species
Lei Chen
1*
| Jian‐Guo Huang
1*
| Qianqian Ma
1*
| Heikki Hänninen
2*
|
Francine Tremblay
3
| Yves Bergeron
3
1
Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration
and Management of Degraded Ecosystems,
Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of
Applied Botany, South China Botanical
Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences,
Guangzhou, China
2
State Key Laboratory of Subtropical
Silviculture, Zhejiang A&F University,
Hangzhou, China
3
Forest Research Institute, Université du
Québec en Abitibi‐Témiscamingue, Rouyn‐
Noranda, Quebec, Canada
Correspondence
Jian‐Guo Huang, Key Laboratory of
Vegetation Restoration and Management of
Degraded Ecosystems, Guangdong Provincial
Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South
China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy
of Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Email: huangjg@scbg.ac.cn
Funding information
National Natural Science Foundation of
China, Grant/Award Number: 100,
Y421081001, GJHZ1752; Chinese Academy
of Sciences
Abstract
Contrary to the generally advanced spring leaf unfolding under global warming, the
effects of the climate warming on autumn leaf senescence are highly variable with
advanced, delayed, and unchanged patterns being all reported. Using one million
records of leaf phenology from four dominant temperate species in Europe, we
investigated the temperature sensitivities of spring leaf unfolding and autumn leaf
senescence (S
T
, advanced or delayed days per degree Celsius). The S
T
of spring phe-
nology in all of the four examined species showed an increase and decrease during
1951–1980 and 1981–2013, respectively. The decrease in the S
T
during 1981–2013
appears to be caused by reduced accumulation of chilling units. As with spring phe-
nology, the S
T
of leaf senescence of early successional and exotic species started to
decline since 1980. In contrast, for late successional species, the S
T
of autumn
senescence showed an increase for the entire study period from 1951 to 2013.
Moreover, the impacts of rising temperature associated with global warming on
spring leaf unfolding were stronger than those on autumn leaf senescence. The tim-
ing of leaf senescence was positively correlated with the timing of leaf unfolding
during 1951–1980. However, as climate warming continued, the differences in the
responses between spring and autumn phenology gradually increased, so that the
correlation was no more significant during 1981–2013. Our results further suggest
that since 2000, due to the decreased temperature sensitivity of leaf unfolding the
length of the growing season has not increased any more. These finding needs to
be addressed in vegetation models used for assessing the effects of climate change.
KEYWORDS
chilling units, climate warming, early and late successional species, exotic species, phenology,
photoperiod
1 | INTRODUCTION
Plant phenology, the timing of periodic biological events in relation
to climate fluctuations, has critical impacts on various aspects of
ecosystem functions, such as carbon, water and nutrient cycling, tree
fitness and distribution, and trophic interactions and structures
(Richardson et al., 2013). Therefore, monitoring the timing of pheno-
logical processes is important to the understanding of the impacts of
global warming on terrestrial ecosystems (Cleland, Chuine, Menzel,
Mooney, & Schwartz, 2007; Richardson et al., 2013).
In recent decades, many studies have reported advanced spring
phenological development of plants as a result of the climate
*
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Received: 30 July 2018
|
Accepted: 16 October 2018
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14496
Glob Change Biol. 2018;1–8. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/gcb © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd
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