Contagion and Diversity of Preference
Saori Iwanaga
Dept. of Maritime Safety Technology
Japan Coast Guard Academy
Wakaba 5-1, Kure, Japan
s-iwanaga@jcga.ac.jp
Akira Namatame
Dept. of Computer Science
National Defense Academy
Hashirimizu 1-10-20, Yokosuka, Japan
nama@jcga.ac.jp
Abstract— There are growing interests for studying collective
behavior including the dynamics of markets, the emergence of social
norms and conventions, and collective phenomena in daily life such
as traffic congestion. In this paper, we deal with collective behavior
in population with several social networks. We showed that collective
behavior in cooperative relationships is affected in the structure of the
social network and under the heterogeneity of preference. We showed
that collective behavior is affected by clustering coefficient. In
regular network and small world network for a homogeneous
preferences population, minority choice has a chance to spread
throughout in the population. This is when the standardized clustering
coefficient is low. We showed that collective behavior is affected by
standard deviation. In population of uniform distribution and two-
sided distribution, minority choice has a chance to spread throughout
in the population. This is when standardized deviation is high. Then,
we found that clustering coefficient affects on collective behavior in
any preferences. On the other hands, collective behavior in diverse
population is hard to forecast.
Keywords- agent; social network; contagion; collective behavior;
preference
I. INTRODUCTION
There are growing interests for studying collective behavior
including the dynamics of markets, the emergence of social
norms and conventions, and collective phenomena in daily life
such as traffic congestion. Many researchers have pointed out
that an equilibrium analysis does not resolve the question of
how peoples behave in a particular interdependent decision
situation. It is often argued "It is hard to see what can advance
the discussion short of assembling a collection of people,
putting them in the situation of interest, and observing what
they do"[6].
In examining collective behavior, we shall draw heavily on
the interactions of individuals. We also need to describe on two
different levels: the microscopic level, where the decisions of
the individual agents occur, and the macroscopic level where
collective behavior can be observed [17]. The greatest promise
lies in analysis of linking microscopic behavior to macroscopic
behavior [16]. What makes collective behavior interesting and
difficult is that the entire aggregate outcome is what has to be
evaluated, not merely how each person does within the
constraints of her own environment. The performance of the
collective system depends crucially on the type of interaction
as well as the heterogeneity in preference of agents [8].
There is a growing literature on the approach of bounded
rationality, and the hypotheses employed in these researches
reflect the ability of each agent to receive partial information
from other agents in the course of their interaction [14]. Our
model can be interpreted in like manner; however, we intend to
combine the hypotheses of adaptation and local interactions in
modeling evolutionary processes. The first hypothesis reflects
limited ability (on the agent's part) to receive, decide, and act
upon information they get in the course of interactions. The
second interpretation is that agents perform optimization
calculations. We formalize these ideas in a model with a finite
population of agents in which agents are repeatedly matched
within a period to play a game and we consider to describe
coordination (or common interest) game. Here are many
parameters to be considered such as payoff structure,
localization, the shadow of the future, the number of agents and
so on. Among these parameters, we examine parameters:
payoff structure and localization.
In previous works in the area of collective behavior or
coordination behavior, the standard assumption was that agents
use the same kind of adaptive rule [4]. In this paper, we
departed from this assumption by considering a model
heterogeneous agent with respect to their payoff structures. We
showed how agents interact with the others and their aggregate.
We used the term emergent to denote stable macroscopic
patterns arising from the idiosyncratic rules of agents. From
these simulation results, we can induce that knowing
preferences, motives, or beliefs of agents can only provide a
necessary but not a sufficient condition for the explanation of
outcomes of the collective behavior. The interaction of many
agents produces some kind of coherent, systematic behavior.
The surprise consists precisely in the emergence of
macrostructure from the bottom up, which is from simple rules
that outwardly appear quite remote from the collective
phenomena they generate.
On the other hands, threshold model [15] has been
postulated as one explanation for the contagion. Contagion is
said to occur if one behavior can spread from a finite set of
players to the whole population. When can behavior that is
initially played by only an infinite set of players spread to the
whole population? Morris [12] shows that maximal contagion
occurs when local interaction is sufficiently uniform and there
is low neighbor growth, i.e., the number of players who can be
SCIS-ISIS 2012, Kobe, Japan, November 20-24, 2012
978-1-4673-2743-5/12/$31.00 ©2012 IEEE 935