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© 2021 Conscientia Beam. All Rights Reserved.
CROSS-TIME-FREQUENCY ANALYSIS OF VOLATILITY INTERDEPENDENCE
AMONG STOCK AND CURRENCY MARKETS
Hasan Fehmi
Baklaci
1
Tezer Yelkenci
2+
1,2
Izmir University of Economics, Turkey.
(+ Corresponding author)
ABSTRACT
Article History
Received: 19 October 2020
Revised: 13 November 2020
Accepted: 27 November 2020
Published: 21 December 2020
Keywords
Volatility spillover
Multivariate GARCH
Shock transmission
Intraday analysis
Exchange rates
Stock market.
JEL Classification:
G11; G13; G15.
Volatility transmission between stock markets and currency markets is an ongoing
debate in the pertinent literature. However, the majority of the previous studies have
used only daily data with a limited sample. This study aims to fill this gap by
identifying how sample stock markets and currencies play the role of volatility
transmitter and receiver, particularly on an intraday basis. To this end, this research
detects volatility interdependencies among various stock markets and currencies using
five major stock indices and six major currency pairs. The results for daily and intraday
frequencies are quite disparate. In particular, the results signify that the transmission of
volatility from currency markets to stock markets is much stronger on an intraday
basis. The results also indicate a strengthening of the volatility transmission and
spillover interdependence among stock markets on a daily basis. These results may be
ascribed to the continuous trading mechanism of these markets, which in turn allows
the news to impact these markets first, which then transmit it to stock markets. The
findings obtained also imply that intraday price fluctuations in major currencies should
be closely tracked to monitor intraday volatility patterns in stock markets.
Contribution/Originality: This study is one of very few studies which have investigated volatility
interdependencies among various stock markets and currencies by utilising daily and intraday data simultaneously.
The findings are also unique signifying that the transmission of volatility from currency markets to stock markets
is much stronger on an intraday basis.
1. INTRODUCTION
The pattern of volatility spillover in global financial markets is one of the most critical issues for traders and
policymakers because a strong volatility interaction between various markets has advantages and disadvantages.
While the existence of volatility spillover in currency markets may limit hedging opportunities, it may also allow
for possible speculative trading gains. Volatility spillover is associated with information flow (Ross, 1989), so
volatility spillover studies improve the understanding of information transmission within or across different
markets. Cross-market volatility spillover studies are important for gauging the speed of different financial markets’
adjustment to new information. Volatility transmission between stock markets and currency markets is an ongoing
debate in the pertinent literature. The volatility interdependence between these two markets is of critical
importance for portfolio managers and speculators. Most studies of volatility transmission in these two markets
have documented the informational impact of stock markets on currency markets through volatility spillover
(Andreou, Matsi, & Savvides, 2013; Caporale, Hunter, & Ali, 2014; Do, Brooks, Treepongkaruna, & Wu, 2016;
The Economics and Finance Letters
2021 Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 14-31.
ISSN(e): 2312-430X
ISSN(p): 2312-6310
DOI: 10.18488/journal.29.2021.81.14.31
© 2021 Conscientia Beam. All Rights Reserved.