https://doi.org/10.1177/1938965517735743
Cornell Hospitality Quarterly
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© The Author(s) 2017
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DOI: 10.1177/1938965517735743
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Article
Introduction
Retrospectively, tourism has been viewed as a nonproduc-
tive sector that is less likely to contribute to economic
growth because it involves nothing more than funs and
leisure (Vanhove, 2011). However, this view has changed
and nowadays tourism has become the world’s largest and
rapidly growing services sector even during the economic
crisis periods. Instead of exporting goods, exports of ser-
vices in the form of tourism may be an alternative option
for generating economic growth. Tourism brings multiple
benefits and influences the economic development of the
host countries through a variety of mechanisms. There is a
lengthy literature on how tourism could encourage new
investments in tourism-related eco-system, increase gov-
ernment tax revenue, generate employment opportunities,
and reduce current account deficits (e.g., Sharpley &
Telfer, 2002; Sinclair & Stabler, 1997). Moreover, there is
also literature that argues that tourism development could
help alleviate poverty and reduce economic inequality
between developed and less developed countries (e.g.,
Jamieson, Goodwin, & Edmunds, 2004; Muganda, Sahli,
& Smith, 2010; Raza & Shah, 2017; Suntikul, Bauer, &
Song, 2009). Owing to all these positive effects, many
countries are moving toward promoting their tourism sec-
tors with the aim of simulating economic growth. The
positive role of tourism in economic growth is referred in
the literature to as the tourism-led growth (TLG) hypoth-
esis, most notably after the seminal work of Balaguer and
Cantavella-Jordá (2002).
Since 2002, a large number of empirical studies on the
TLG hypothesis have emerged in the literature using a wide
range of methods and datasets and covering both single and
multiple countries (or regions).
1
However, the empirical
evidence on the validity of this hypothesis is mixed. For the
sake of brevity, our review of the past literature reveals that
there are two strands of the literature where one strand is in
favor of the TLG hypothesis (e.g., Adamou & Clerides,
2010; Brau, Lanza, & Pigliaru, 2007; Brau, Liberto, &
Pigliaru, 2011; Chiu & Yeh, 2017; Tang, Cheam, & Ong,
2017) while another strand dismisses it (e.g., Arslanturk,
Balcilar, & Ozdemir, 2011; Katircioglu, 2009; Oh, 2005;
Payne & Mervar, 2010). With such conflicting empirical
results, it is difficult to confidently conclude and derive any
reasonable policy recommendations for boosting tourism as
a means of achieving high economic growth. Hence, the
empirical validity of the TLG still remains a subject that
deserves great attention. In addition, a more in-depth explo-
ration of this topic is essential.
The major limitations of the past studies are their tendency
to neglect the root causes of their conflicting results and their
failure to account for country-specific factors. According to
Tang and Abosedra (2016), variations in the empirical results
735743CQX XX X 10.1177/1938965517735743Cornell Hospitality QuarterlyTang and Tan
research-article 2017
1
Universiti Sains Malaysia, Penang, Malaysia
2
University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Corresponding Author:
Chor Foon Tang, Centre for Policy Research and International Studies,
Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 USM, Penang, Malaysia.
Email: tcfoon@usm.my
Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis:
A New Global Evidence
Chor Foon Tang
1
and Eu Chye Tan
2
Abstract
The primary aim of this study is to determine whether the tourism-led growth hypothesis is globally valid by accounting for
countries’ income levels and their institutional qualities, against a panel dataset of 167 countries. The institutional qualities
referred to are political stability and corruption control. We employ the dynamic panel generalized method of moments
(GMM) approach to examine the relationship. It can be inferred from the exercise that tourism positively contributes to
economic growth but the effect varies across countries at different levels of income and institutional qualities. Therefore,
the effect of tourism on economic growth is contingent on levels of income and institutional qualities of the host tourism
countries. Policy initiatives that aim to promote and strengthen institutional qualities should be undertaken for a country
to enjoy the beneficial impact of tourism on economic growth and development.
Keywords
corruption; economic growth; political stability; tourism-led growth